October 12, 2018 12:03 PM CDT

Miami (FL) vs Virginia 10/13/2018

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Miami (FL) winning 54% of simulations, and Virginia 46% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Miami (FL) commits fewer turnovers in 63% of simulations and they go on to win 63% when they take care of the ball. Virginia wins 69% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. DeeJay Dallas is averaging 60 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (32% chance) then he helps his team win 76%. Bryce Perkins is averaging 276 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (22% chance) then he helps his team win 73%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is VA +6 --- Over/Under line is 48

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Miami (FL)ATS RECORDVirginiaATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games2-3-0All Games3-1-0Virginia
Road & Neutral Field1-1-0Home Games2-0-0Virginia
When Favored2-3-0When Underdog1-1-0Virginia
Conference Opp1-1-0Conference Opp1-1-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record1-2-0Opp .500+ Record3-1-0Virginia

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Miami (FL)ATS RECORDVirginiaATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games6-7-0All Games6-6-0Virginia
Road & Neutral Field3-3-0Home Games3-3-0No Edge
When Favored4-5-0When Underdog4-5-0No Edge
Conference Opp3-6-0Conference Opp4-4-0Virginia
Opp Under .5001-2-0Opp .500+ Record5-2-0Virginia

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Miami (FL)O-U-P RECORDVirginiaO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)4-1-0All Totals (O-U-P)2-2-0OVER
On Road2-0-0At Home1-1-0OVER
All Totals Last Season3-9-0All Totals Last Season7-5-0UNDER
On Road Last Season0-5-0At Home Last Season3-3-0UNDER

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