October 12, 2018 12:03 PM CDT

Duke vs Georgia Tech 10/13/2018

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Duke winning 53% of simulations, and Georgia Tech 47% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Duke commits fewer turnovers in 18% of simulations and they go on to win 66% when they take care of the ball. Georgia Tech wins 57% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Brittain Brown is averaging 82 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (32% chance) then he helps his team win 65%. TaQuon Marshall is averaging 89 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (35% chance) then he helps his team win 57%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is GATECH -2.5 --- Over/Under line is 53.5

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

DukeATS RECORDGeorgia TechATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games3-1-0All Games2-3-0Duke
Road & Neutral Field2-0-0Home Games1-1-0Duke
When Underdog2-0-0When Favored2-2-0Duke
Conference Opp0-1-0Conference Opp1-2-0Georgia Tech
Opp Under .5000-0-0Opp .500+ Record0-2-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

DukeATS RECORDGeorgia TechATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games5-6-1All Games7-3-1Georgia Tech
Road & Neutral Field3-3-0Home Games4-1-1Georgia Tech
When Underdog3-3-0When Favored3-2-0Georgia Tech
Conference Opp3-5-0Conference Opp5-2-1Georgia Tech
Opp Under .5001-2-1Opp .500+ Record3-2-1Georgia Tech

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

DukeO-U-P RECORDGeorgia TechO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)2-2-0All Totals (O-U-P)4-1-0OVER
On Road1-1-0At Home2-0-0OVER
All Totals Last Season3-9-0All Totals Last Season4-5-1UNDER
On Road Last Season1-5-0At Home Last Season1-3-1UNDER

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