December 05, 2018 4:17 PM CST

Mississippi State vs Iowa 01/01/2019

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Mississippi State is a heavy favorite winning 76% of simulations over Iowa. Nick Fitzgerald is averaging 176 passing yards and 1.15 TDs per simulation and Nick Fitzgerald is projected for 94 rushing yards and a 53% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 24% of simulations where Iowa wins, Nathan Stanley averages 1.24 TD passes vs 5.63 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.53 TDs to 6.41 interceptions. Mekhi Sargent averages 90 rushing yards and 0.95 rushing TDs when Iowa wins and 75 yards and 0.48 TDs in losses. Mississippi State has a 98% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 76% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is IA +6 --- Over/Under line is 44.5

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Mississippi StateATS RECORDIowaATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games8-3-0All Games8-3-0No Edge
Road & Neutral Field3-2-0Road & Neutral Field5-0-0Iowa
When Favored6-2-0When Underdog2-1-0Mississippi State
Non-Conference Opp3-0-0Non-Conference Opp2-0-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record6-3-0Opp .500+ Record6-2-0Iowa

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Mississippi StateATS RECORDIowaATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games7-5-0All Games7-5-1No Edge
Road & Neutral Field3-3-0Road & Neutral Field3-3-0No Edge
When Favored4-3-0When Underdog2-2-0Mississippi State
Non-Conference Opp3-1-0Non-Conference Opp3-1-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record5-2-0Opp .500+ Record4-3-1Mississippi State

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Mississippi StateO-U-P RECORDIowaO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)3-8-0All Totals (O-U-P)7-4-0UNDER
On Road0-5-0At Home2-4-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season3-9-0All Totals Last Season6-7-0UNDER
On Road Last Season2-4-0At Home Last Season2-5-0UNDER

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