December 05, 2018 4:17 PM CST

LSU vs UCF 01/01/2019

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with LSU winning 58% of simulations, and UCF 42% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. LSU commits fewer turnovers in 24% of simulations and they go on to win 68% when they take care of the ball. UCF wins 52% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Nick Brossette is averaging 98 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (39% chance) then he helps his team win 68%. Greg McCrae is averaging 71 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (28% chance) then he helps his team win 59%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is UCF +7.5 --- Over/Under line is 54.5

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

LSUATS RECORDUCFATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games6-5-0All Games9-2-0UCF
Road & Neutral Field3-2-0Road & Neutral Field3-1-0UCF
When Favored2-4-0When Underdog0-0-0No Edge
Non-Conference Opp1-2-0Non-Conference Opp2-0-0UCF
Opp .500+ Record5-3-0Opp .500+ Record5-1-0UCF

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

LSUATS RECORDUCFATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games8-4-0All Games8-4-1No Edge
Road & Neutral Field5-2-0Road & Neutral Field5-1-0UCF
When Favored5-4-0When Underdog2-0-0UCF
Non-Conference Opp1-3-0Non-Conference Opp3-1-0UCF
Opp .500+ Record4-3-0Opp .500+ Record3-2-1UCF

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

LSUO-U-P RECORDUCFO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)7-4-0All Totals (O-U-P)4-7-0No Edge
On Road & Neutral Field3-2-0On Road & Neutral Field1-3-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season4-8-0All Totals Last Season7-5-0UNDER
On Road & Neutral Field '171-6-0On Road & Neutral Field '172-4-0UNDER

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