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AccuScore provides industry leading sports simulations, game forecasts, betting predictions, and fantasy tools for the NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, NCAAF and NCAAB.

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How the Daily Line Report Helps You Beat The Odds Makers

This is Part of the Winner's Edge Subscription Package


The Daily Line Report is one of AccuScore's most prized tools and resources, as well as one of it's most utilized. As we continue to work to make our user's experience be the best that it can be, we wanted to take some time to let you know how this resource can help you out.

The goal of this article is to understand the Daily Line Report and exactly what we are saying.

1) The Daily Line Reports ONLY reports AccuScore’s record in situations.

What We are Saying
The AccuScore computer’s selection is 27-22-5 (55%) when the away team is favored by 8 or more points.

What we are NOT Saying
The away team is 27-22-5 (55%) when favored by 8 or more.

s

What We are Saying
The AccuScore computer’s selection in games where the home team Sim % is 45-49.9% is 34-24 (59%)

What we are NOT Saying
The home team is 34-24 (59%) when Sim % is 45-49.9%.

2) The Daily Line Report ONLY reports AccuScore’s record in games involving teams.

d

What We are Saying
The AccuScore computer’s selection in games where Orlando is on the road is 25-16-4 (61%).

What we are NOT Saying
Orlando is 25-16-4 (61%) in when on the road.
f

What We are Saying
When the Mets are at home AND a favorite in Vegas, The AccuScore computer’s Side Value (SV) selection 12-0.

What we are NOT Saying
The Mets are 12-0 when a favorite at home.
The Mets are the Side Value (SV) selection.

Over the last week, we have been publishing the day's hottest trends for games that are relevant to that day's action. These trends are not based on a talking head's opinion and we have no vested interest in you using the information. The trends that we are publishing are from the Daily Line Report and provide an analysis on numerous angles designed to give you an advantage.

We have received feedback that the DLR is a bit confusing and we want to take the time to explain it to you properly. First and foremost, AccuScore forecasts every game on every day for the NFL, NBA, NHL, MLB and both college football and basketball. In addition to our player projections, we forecast who will win the game (Money Line), against the spread and over/unders (also known as totals).

Our Live Betting Predictions page (exclusive to Winners Edge) gives users an easy to read spread sheet with these selections. It includes the entire slate of games for that league on one page. Here is an example of what it looks like.

DLR

AccuScore's official selection is always the team that has won the majority of simulations. In this case, our official selection is: Western Carolina on the Money Line; Western Carolina -2; Under 137.

The probabilities you see are based on 10,000 simulations. To translate, Western Carolina won 6,400 of the 10,000 simulations and 5,660 of the time it was by more then 2 points. Over the 10,000 simulations, the teams combined to score under 137 points 5,430 times and over that amount 4,440 times. 170 of the simulations finished with exactly 137 total points.

People often make the assumption that the higher the probability, the more likely the game is to win the bet. Conventional wisdom says that is correct, but as each season takes shape, we keep track of different trends. Because we make three selections on every game, the DLR report becomes a database for every angle you can imagine.

While continuing to analyze the Western Carolina-Elon basketball game, let’s take a look at how the DLR can be useful.

When you download the DLR, you will see the "Upcoming-NCAA" tab and you will see this information:

DLR

You will see that the Vegas line is Western Carolina -2 and 137 total points. Based on our simulations, the average margin of victory is 5 points with 134 total points. That represents a 3 point difference between the Vegas line and our simulation line.

How does AccuScore do when Vegas point spread differs from our simulations by 3 points?

DLR

In this situation, AccuScore has forecasted over 1,500 games this season with our selection being right 51% of the time.

The next question is what is AccuScore's record against the spread and with totals involving Western Carolina and Elon? You can find this in the fourth tab, labeled "Records Best-Worst."

DLR

The above graph shows you that in games Elon played, the AccuScore's selection has a won 70.6% of the time. In games involving Western Carolina, the AccuScore selection has won 55.6% of the time. AccuScore's combined record is 22-13 which is accurate 62.8% of the time.

Remember, our point spread selection in this game is Western Carolina. If Western Carolina wins by more than 2 points, then our point spread predictions for both Elon and Western Carolina will increase.


We want to emphasize that our records are based on the specific scenario, not the team. For instance, Elon's record is not 12-5 against the spread. In the 17 games Elon has played that AccuScore forecasted, our selection for the point spread winner have been right 70.6% of the time.

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This is just one example on how to use the Daily Line Report. Here are some more examples of the various trends we cover:

DLR

Find the latest trends yourself by accessing our Daily Line Report, accessible only to Winner's Edge members. Don't have a Winner's Edge account? Plans start at $29.99, sign up by clicking here.

We hope you find the Daily Line Report useful and find it to be a valuable resource in your handicapping. If you have any questions, please email This e-mail address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it