Analyst's 2016 NCAA Bowl Picks: Part 1

Written by Rohit Ghosh

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Bowl Game Picks: 2016 - Part 1

The 2016 NCAA Bowl season started on Saturday, Dec. 17, and the week before Christmas offers a full flurry of Bowl Games. AccuScore’s analyst took a look the pre-Christmas games and picked out two games with value opportunities…

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Boca Raton Bowl: Memphis vs. Western Kentucky, Dec. 20

Tuesday features another matchup that should give fans plenty of offense to be entertained from as Western Kentucky comes in second in the nation in scoring and seventh in total offense. Memphis just might've gotten hot at the right time, averaging over 460 yards per game with 42 points or more in three of their last four.

Keep an eye on Western Kentucky WRs Taywan Taylor and Nicholas Norris. The Hilltopper offense is a well-run machine and don't be surprised if a majority of the completions are double-digit yard gains.

Best Bet: Simulation data has the total set at nearly five points higher than does Vegas, suggesting a pick on the OVER. Whereas most books in Vegas have it listed at 78.5, sim data has it at 83.

- Western Kentucky is 5-1 ATS in their last six games. [Supports AccuScore simulation data.]
- The total has gone OVER in six of Western Kentucky's last 8 games, and in 7 of Memphis' last 10. [Supports AccuScore simulation data.]

ALL 2016 BOWL PICKS: Be sure to check out all of AccuScore's Bowl picks for the 2016 College Football postseason... AccuScore's Expert 2016 College Football Bowl Picks

San Diego County Credit Union Poinsettia Bowl: BYU vs. Wyoming, Dec. 21

BYU playing here at Qualcomm was an inevitability, but Wyoming reaching a bowl game for the first time since 2011 makes Wednesday's contest somewhat appealing.

BYU is clearly the better team, but the program has had an issue performing up to par in bowl games. They've given up 121 points in their last three bowl games, losing all three after having won six of their previous seven and four in a row. They'll look to get back on track this week against a Wyoming team that's just happy to be playing.

Best Bet: AccuScore sim data has the total listed at about four points higher than do Vegas odds - indicating a pick on the OVER. The total combined score goes OVER 57.5 in about 58 percent of simulations.

- The total has gone OVER in four of Wyoming's last five games. [Supports AccuScore simulation data.]