September 14, 2018 6:55 AM CDT

Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves 9/14/2018

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The Atlanta Braves are 37-33 at home this season and the Washington Nationals are 37-36 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Kevin Gausman has a 40% chance of a QS and Max Scherzer a 39% chance. If Kevin Gausman has a quality start the Braves has a 66% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3 and he has a 25% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Braves win 55%. If Max Scherzer has a quality start the Nationals has a 70% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.9 and he has a 36% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Nationals win 54%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Freddie Freeman who averaged 2.34 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 62% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is Daniel Murphy who averaged 2.38 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 66% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Atlanta Braves

Washington NationalsRECORDAtlanta BravesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road37-36, 51% -433Record at Home37-33, 53% -123Atlanta Braves
VS Atlanta Braves6-9, 40% -525VS Washington Nationals9-6, 60% 565Atlanta Braves
vs Team .500 or Better35-46, 43% -1597vs Team .500 or Better38-38, 50% 838Atlanta Braves
Record as Road Favorite23-24, 49% -898Record as Home Underdog13-13, 50% 246Atlanta Braves
When Max Scherzer Starts21-9, 70% 192When Kevin Gausman Starts12-17, 41% -643Washington Nationals

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE

Washington NationalsRECORDAtlanta BravesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road7-4, 64% 341Record at Home4-9, 31% -630Washington Nationals
VS Atlanta Braves0-0 No GamesVS Washington Nationals0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better6-8, 43% -278vs Team Under .50014-4, 78% 848Atlanta Braves
Record as Road Favorite2-2, 50% -32Record as Home Underdog0-4, 0% -400Washington Nationals
When Max Scherzer Starts4-1, 80% 133When Kevin Gausman Starts5-1, 83% 284Atlanta Braves

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Washington NationalsRECORDAtlanta BravesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD28-42, 40% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME31-35, 47% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-6, 40% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-7, 42% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON35-43, 45% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON35-43, 45% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Max Scherzer STARTS16-13, 55% OverOVER-UNDER IN Kevin Gausman STARTS9-19, 32% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 38-35, 52% +417 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 36-34, 51% +60 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 6-5, 55% +231 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 7-6, 54% +81

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 38-35, 52% -465 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 38-32, 54% -209 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 4-7, 36% -346 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 6-7, 46% -229

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 48-19, 72% + 2710 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 36-27, 57% + 630 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 5-5, 50% -50 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 4-6, 40% -260

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