September 14, 2018 6:55 AM CDT

Texas Rangers vs San Diego Padres 9/14/2018

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The San Diego Padres are 27-45 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Texas Rangers who are 30-41 on the road this season. The Padres have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Padres\' starter Robbie Erlin is forecasted to have a better game than Rangers\' starter Connor Sadzeck. Robbie Erlin has a 31% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Connor Sadzeck has a 14% chance of a QS. If Robbie Erlin has a quality start the Padres has a 78% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.5 and he has a 49% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Padres win 66%. In Connor Sadzeck quality starts the Rangers win 61%. He has a 6% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 61% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Hunter Renfroe who averaged 2.83 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 50% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 72% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Texas Rangers is Shin-Soo Choo who averaged 2.35 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rangers have a 53% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Texas Rangers

Texas RangersRECORDSan Diego PadresRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road30-41, 42% 507Record at Home27-45, 38% -1680Texas Rangers
VS San Diego Padres2-1, 67% 56VS Texas Rangers1-2, 33% -102Texas Rangers
vs Team Under .50032-30, 52% 133vs Team Under .50021-25, 46% -361Texas Rangers
Record As Road Underdog26-38, 41% 469Record As Home Favorite11-9, 55% -7Texas Rangers
When Connor Sadzeck Starts0-0 No GamesWhen Robbie Erlin Starts3-6, 33% -120Texas Rangers

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE

Texas RangersRECORDSan Diego PadresRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-9, 25% -500Record at Home5-6, 45% -15San Diego Padres
VS San Diego Padres0-0 No GamesVS Texas Rangers0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5008-8, 50% 14vs Team .500 or Better3-7, 30% -301Texas Rangers
Record As Road Underdog3-9, 25% -500Record As Home Favorite0-1, 0% -100San Diego Padres
When Connor Sadzeck Starts0-0 No GamesWhen Robbie Erlin Starts1-4, 20% -242Texas Rangers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Texas RangersRECORDSan Diego PadresRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD31-39, 44% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME40-30, 57% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-6, 50% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-7, 36% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON36-41, 47% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON40-34, 54% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Connor Sadzeck STARTS0-0 No GamesOVER-UNDER IN Robbie Erlin STARTS4-4, 50% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 31-40, 44% +371 San Diego Padres Home Games: 31-41, 43% -1445 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 6-6, 50% -91 San Diego Padres Home Games: 4-7, 36% -345

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 40-31, 56% -614 San Diego Padres Home Games: 43-29, 60% +329 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 9-3, 75% +230 San Diego Padres Home Games: 5-6, 45% -206

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 36-30, 55% + 300 San Diego Padres Home Games: 33-34, 49% -440 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 7-4, 64% + 260 San Diego Padres Home Games: 6-4, 60% + 160

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