September 14, 2018 6:55 AM CDT

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers 9/14/2018

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The Milwaukee Brewers are 45-27 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Pittsburgh Pirates who are 32-39 on the road this season. The Brewers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Brewers\' starter Gio Gonzalez is forecasted to have a better game than Pirates\' starter Chris Archer. Gio Gonzalez has a 40% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Chris Archer has a 29% chance of a QS. If Gio Gonzalez has a quality start the Brewers has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.6 and he has a 20% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Brewers win 66%. In Chris Archer quality starts the Pirates win 58%. He has a 33% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 58% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is Christian Yelich who averaged 2.57 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 46% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 69% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Gregory Polanco who averaged 2.15 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 54% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers

Pittsburgh PiratesRECORDMilwaukee BrewersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road32-39, 45% -316Record at Home45-27, 62% 1070Milwaukee Brewers
VS Milwaukee Brewers9-4, 69% 516VS Pittsburgh Pirates4-9, 31% -547Pittsburgh Pirates
vs Team .500 or Better35-54, 39% -1480vs Team .500 or Better41-37, 53% 757Milwaukee Brewers
Record As Road Underdog23-34, 40% -560Record As Home Favorite31-15, 67% 666Milwaukee Brewers
When Chris Archer Starts12-12, 50% -71When Gio Gonzalez Starts12-16, 43% -723Pittsburgh Pirates

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers

Pittsburgh PiratesRECORDMilwaukee BrewersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road4-9, 31% -438Record at Home9-3, 75% 345Milwaukee Brewers
VS Milwaukee Brewers1-2, 33% -82VS Pittsburgh Pirates2-1, 67% 54Milwaukee Brewers
vs Team .500 or Better6-13, 32% -662vs Team .500 or Better7-6, 54% 167Milwaukee Brewers
Record As Road Underdog3-9, 25% -525Record As Home Favorite7-3, 70% 129Milwaukee Brewers
When Chris Archer Starts1-4, 20% -349When Gio Gonzalez Starts1-3, 25% -247Milwaukee Brewers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Pittsburgh PiratesRECORDMilwaukee BrewersRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD37-32, 54% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME35-34, 51% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-7, 46% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-5, 58% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON30-49, 38% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON36-39, 48% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Chris Archer STARTS15-8, 65% OverOVER-UNDER IN Gio Gonzalez STARTS9-18, 33% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 37-34, 52% +413 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 38-34, 53% +247 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 10-3, 77% +834 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 8-4, 67% +329

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 41-30, 58% +168 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 39-33, 54% -200 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 9-4, 69% +288 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 9-3, 75% +345

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 31-33, 48% -530 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 29-35, 45% -950 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 4-7, 36% -370 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 4-6, 40% -260

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