September 14, 2018 6:55 AM CDT

Oakland Athletics vs Tampa Bay Rays 9/14/2018

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The Tampa Bay Rays are 46-25 at home this season and the Oakland Athletics are 43-29 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Diego Castillo has a 44% chance of a QS and Edwin Jackson a 44% chance. If Diego Castillo has a quality start the Rays has a 69% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.5 and he has a 25% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rays win 49%. If Edwin Jackson has a quality start the Athletics has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.2 and he has a 26% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Athletics win 57%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Tampa Bay Rays is Matt Duffy who averaged 2.08 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rays have a 59% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Oakland Athletics is Khris Davis who averaged 2.13 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Athletics have a 68% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Oakland Athletics

Oakland AthleticsRECORDTampa Bay RaysRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road43-29, 60% 2055Record at Home46-25, 65% 2007Oakland Athletics
VS Tampa Bay Rays1-3, 25% -230VS Oakland Athletics3-1, 75% 248Tampa Bay Rays
vs Team .500 or Better30-37, 45% 319vs Team .500 or Better31-38, 45% 605Tampa Bay Rays
Record As Road Underdog25-21, 54% 1432Record As Home Favorite25-12, 68% 500Oakland Athletics
When Edwin Jackson Starts10-3, 77% 850When Diego Castillo Starts6-0, 100% 774Oakland Athletics

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Rays

Oakland AthleticsRECORDTampa Bay RaysRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-4, 60% 124Record at Home12-1, 92% 842Tampa Bay Rays
VS Tampa Bay Rays0-0 No GamesVS Oakland Athletics0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better5-4, 56% 227vs Team .500 or Better15-5, 75% 1182Tampa Bay Rays
Record As Road Underdog2-2, 50% 65Record As Home Favorite8-0, 100% 436Tampa Bay Rays
When Edwin Jackson Starts4-1, 80% 341When Diego Castillo Starts6-0, 100% 774Tampa Bay Rays

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Oakland AthleticsRECORDTampa Bay RaysRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD39-30, 57% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME32-36, 47% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-6, 40% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-5, 58% OverN/A
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON39-41, 49% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON36-43, 46% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Edwin Jackson STARTS5-7, 42% OverOVER-UNDER IN Diego Castillo STARTS5-1, 83% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Oakland Athletics Road Games: 29-43, 40% -1072 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 30-41, 42% -656 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Oakland Athletics Road Games: 3-7, 30% -292 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 4-9, 31% -506

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Oakland Athletics Road Games: 31-41, 43% -1805 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 32-39, 45% -1595 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Oakland Athletics Road Games: 6-4, 60% -26 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 7-6, 54% -248

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Oakland Athletics Road Games: 30-37, 45% -1070 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 27-28, 49% -380 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Oakland Athletics Road Games: 6-3, 67% + 270 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 6-5, 55% + 50

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