September 14, 2018 6:55 AM CDT

New York Mets vs Boston Red Sox 9/14/2018

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The Boston Red Sox are 52-20 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the New York Mets who are 35-35 on the road this season. The Red Sox have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Hector Velazquez has a 34% chance of a QS and Noah Syndergaard a 36% chance. If Hector Velazquez has a quality start the Red Sox has a 82% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2 and he has a 14% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Red Sox win 70%. If Noah Syndergaard has a quality start the Mets has a 67% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.7 and he has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mets win 46%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Boston Red Sox is J.D. Martinez who averaged 2.82 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 52% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Red Sox have a 69% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is Jeff McNeil who averaged 2.44 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 56% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Boston Red Sox

New York MetsRECORDBoston Red SoxRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road35-35, 50% 466Record at Home52-20, 72% 1126Boston Red Sox
VS Boston Red Sox0-0 No GamesVS New York Mets0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better41-54, 43% -942vs Team Under .50061-17, 78% 1902Boston Red Sox
Record As Road Underdog21-22, 49% 704Record As Home Favorite49-19, 72% 849Boston Red Sox
When Noah Syndergaard Starts14-7, 67% 295When Hector Velazquez Starts5-2, 71% 153New York Mets

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Mets

New York MetsRECORDBoston Red SoxRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road9-5, 64% 618Record at Home10-5, 67% 43New York Mets
VS Boston Red Sox0-0 No GamesVS New York Mets0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better5-3, 62% 395vs Team .500 or Better10-10, 50% -284New York Mets
Record As Road Underdog6-5, 55% 375Record As Home Favorite9-4, 69% 37New York Mets
When Noah Syndergaard Starts3-2, 60% 4When Hector Velazquez Starts1-2, 33% -110New York Mets

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

New York MetsRECORDBoston Red SoxRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD35-29, 55% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME30-35, 46% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS8-6, 57% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-6, 54% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON50-27, 65% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON30-48, 38% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Noah Syndergaard STARTS8-11, 42% OverOVER-UNDER IN Hector Velazquez STARTS5-2, 71% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 38-32, 54% +796 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 39-33, 54% +582 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 4-10, 29% -693 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 10-5, 67% +43

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 36-34, 51% -608 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 51-21, 71% +944 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 6-8, 43% -400 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 10-5, 67% +43

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 34-28, 55% + 320 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 34-27, 56% + 430 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 6-7, 46% -170 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 5-7, 42% -270

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