September 14, 2018 6:55 AM CDT

Los Angeles Dodgers vs St. Louis Cardinals 9/14/2018

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The Los Angeles Dodgers are 41-31 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the St. Louis Cardinals who are 39-33 at home. The Dodgers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Jack Flaherty has a 32% chance of a QS and Walker Buehler a 35% chance. If Jack Flaherty has a quality start the Cardinals has a 62% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.4 and he has a 21% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cardinals win 40%. If Walker Buehler has a quality start the Dodgers has a 69% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.2 and he has a 35% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Dodgers win 64%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Matt Carpenter who averaged 2.3 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 52% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Dodgers is Max Muncy who averaged 2.52 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 44% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Dodgers have a 72% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals

Los Angeles DodgersRECORDSt. Louis CardinalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road41-31, 57% 80Record at Home39-33, 54% -320Los Angeles Dodgers
VS St. Louis Cardinals1-3, 25% -246VS Los Angeles Dodgers3-1, 75% 342St. Louis Cardinals
vs Team .500 or Better42-38, 52% -496vs Team .500 or Better38-31, 55% 783St. Louis Cardinals
Record as Road Favorite34-27, 56% -389Record as Home Underdog7-6, 54% 170St. Louis Cardinals
When Walker Buehler Starts11-7, 61% 54When Jack Flaherty Starts12-13, 48% -203Los Angeles Dodgers

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals

Los Angeles DodgersRECORDSt. Louis CardinalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road8-4, 67% 108Record at Home8-7, 53% -104Los Angeles Dodgers
VS St. Louis Cardinals1-3, 25% -246VS Los Angeles Dodgers3-1, 75% 342St. Louis Cardinals
vs Team .500 or Better4-6, 40% -349vs Team .500 or Better10-5, 67% 610St. Louis Cardinals
Record as Road Favorite8-4, 67% 108Record as Home Underdog0-2, 0% -200Los Angeles Dodgers
When Walker Buehler Starts3-2, 60% -9When Jack Flaherty Starts3-2, 60% 91St. Louis Cardinals

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Los Angeles DodgersRECORDSt. Louis CardinalsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD35-34, 51% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME30-38, 44% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-4, 64% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-8, 43% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON39-43, 48% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON40-37, 52% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Walker Buehler STARTS7-11, 39% OverOVER-UNDER IN Jack Flaherty STARTS9-13, 41% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 36-36, 50% -742 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 43-29, 60% +1822 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 8-4, 67% +48 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 11-4, 73% +622

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 38-34, 53% -514 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 38-34, 53% -518 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 9-3, 75% +339 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 9-6, 60% +50

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 34-30, 53% + 100 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 36-27, 57% + 630 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 5-6, 45% -160 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 9-3, 75% + 570

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