September 14, 2018 6:55 AM CDT

Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Indians 9/14/2018

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The Cleveland Indians are 44-28 at home this season and the Detroit Tigers are 23-49 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Josh Tomlin has a 38% chance of a QS and Matt Boyd a 42% chance. If Josh Tomlin has a quality start the Indians has a 78% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6 and he has a 50% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Indians win 57%. If Matt Boyd has a quality start the Tigers has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.9 and he has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Tigers win 52%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Cleveland Indians is Jose Ramirez who averaged 2.49 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Indians have a 65% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Nick Castellanos who averaged 2.3 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 63% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cleveland Indians

Detroit TigersRECORDCleveland IndiansRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road23-49, 32% -1459Record at Home44-28, 61% -439Cleveland Indians
VS Cleveland Indians4-12, 25% -566VS Detroit Tigers12-4, 75% 198Cleveland Indians
vs Team .500 or Better18-44, 29% -1349vs Team Under .50062-36, 63% -427Cleveland Indians
Record As Road Underdog22-46, 32% -1253Record As Home Favorite41-26, 61% -566Cleveland Indians
When Matt Boyd Starts14-15, 48% 304When Josh Tomlin Starts1-5, 17% -446Detroit Tigers

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Detroit Tigers

Detroit TigersRECORDCleveland IndiansRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-8, 38% 119Record at Home7-5, 58% -215Detroit Tigers
VS Cleveland Indians0-0 No GamesVS Detroit Tigers0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better8-14, 36% -98vs Team Under .5007-4, 64% -27Cleveland Indians
Record As Road Underdog5-7, 42% 219Record As Home Favorite7-5, 58% -215Detroit Tigers
When Matt Boyd Starts3-2, 60% 238When Josh Tomlin Starts0-0 No GamesDetroit Tigers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Detroit TigersRECORDCleveland IndiansRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD29-41, 41% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME41-29, 59% OverN/A
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS9-4, 69% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-8, 27% OverN/A
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON37-40, 48% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON33-49, 40% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Matt Boyd STARTS11-18, 38% OverOVER-UNDER IN Josh Tomlin STARTS5-1, 83% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 36-36, 50% +684 Cleveland Indians Home Games: 26-46, 36% -893 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 6-7, 46% +236 Cleveland Indians Home Games: 2-10, 17% -910

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 51-21, 71% +1248 Cleveland Indians Home Games: 43-29, 60% -608 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 7-6, 54% -158 Cleveland Indians Home Games: 7-5, 58% -215

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 39-30, 57% + 600 Cleveland Indians Home Games: 24-41, 37% -2110 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 4-9, 31% -590 Cleveland Indians Home Games: 8-1, 89% + 690

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