September 14, 2018 6:55 AM CDT

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Houston Astros 9/14/2018

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The Houston Astros are 40-32 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Arizona Diamondbacks who are 40-35 on the road this season. The Astros have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Astros\' starter Dallas Keuchel is forecasted to have a better game than Diamondbacks\' starter Robbie Ray. Dallas Keuchel has a 55% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Robbie Ray has a 36% chance of a QS. If Dallas Keuchel has a quality start the Astros has a 80% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.2 and he has a 25% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Astros win 69%. In Robbie Ray quality starts the Diamondbacks win 58%. He has a 15% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 58% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Alex Bregman who averaged 2.52 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 45% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 73% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Arizona Diamondbacks is Paul Goldschmidt who averaged 2.31 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Diamondbacks have a 51% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Arizona Diamondbacks

Arizona DiamondbacksRECORDHouston AstrosRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road40-35, 53% 400Record at Home40-32, 56% -1314Arizona Diamondbacks
VS Houston Astros2-1, 67% 181VS Arizona Diamondbacks1-2, 33% -146Arizona Diamondbacks
vs Team .500 or Better36-41, 47% -303vs Team .500 or Better38-35, 52% -866Arizona Diamondbacks
Record As Road Underdog22-24, 48% 137Record As Home Favorite39-31, 56% -1331Arizona Diamondbacks
When Robbie Ray Starts9-11, 45% -351When Dallas Keuchel Starts17-13, 57% -252Houston Astros

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Houston Astros

Arizona DiamondbacksRECORDHouston AstrosRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-9, 40% -406Record at Home8-3, 73% 98Houston Astros
VS Houston Astros0-0 No GamesVS Arizona Diamondbacks0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better3-9, 25% -637vs Team Under .50013-3, 81% 399Houston Astros
Record As Road Underdog1-7, 12% -585Record As Home Favorite8-3, 73% 98Houston Astros
When Robbie Ray Starts3-2, 60% 53When Dallas Keuchel Starts3-2, 60% -28Arizona Diamondbacks

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Arizona DiamondbacksRECORDHouston AstrosRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD33-38, 46% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME33-38, 46% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-11, 27% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-6, 45% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON33-46, 42% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON38-50, 43% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Robbie Ray STARTS9-10, 47% OverOVER-UNDER IN Dallas Keuchel STARTS15-14, 52% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 35-40, 47% -881 Houston Astros Home Games: 37-35, 51% +2178 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 8-7, 53% -144 Houston Astros Home Games: 5-6, 45% +56

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 38-37, 51% -683 Houston Astros Home Games: 40-32, 56% -1287 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 10-5, 67% +232 Houston Astros Home Games: 8-3, 73% +98

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 35-33, 51% -130 Houston Astros Home Games: 29-33, 47% -730 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 8-7, 53% + 30 Houston Astros Home Games: 4-5, 44% -150

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