September 13, 2017 5:10 AM CDT

New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays 9/13/2017

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The Tampa Bay Rays are 36-35 at home this season and the New York Yankees are 38-38 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Chris Archer has a 49% chance of a QS and Jaime Garcia a 45% chance. If Chris Archer has a quality start the Rays has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.9 and he has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rays win 56%. If Jaime Garcia has a quality start the Yankees has a 70% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.3 and he has a 14% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Yankees win 53%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Tampa Bay Rays is Logan Morrison who averaged 2.16 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rays have a 69% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Yankees is Aaron Judge who averaged 2.47 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Yankees have a 60% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Yankees

New York YankeesRECORDTampa Bay RaysRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road38-38, 50% 21Record at Home36-35, 51% -431New York Yankees
VS Tampa Bay Rays9-5, 64% 249VS New York Yankees5-9, 36% -307New York Yankees
vs Team Under .50050-36, 58% 171vs Team .500 or Better33-38, 46% -109New York Yankees
Record As Road Underdog18-16, 53% 719Record As Home Favorite25-23, 52% -471New York Yankees
When Jaime Garcia Starts12-12, 50% 56When Chris Archer Starts16-14, 53% -117New York Yankees

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Yankees

New York YankeesRECORDTampa Bay RaysRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road10-5, 67% 356Record at Home5-5, 50% -149New York Yankees
VS Tampa Bay Rays1-0, 100% 81VS New York Yankees0-1, 0% -100New York Yankees
vs Team Under .5009-2, 82% 348vs Team .500 or Better5-5, 50% 17New York Yankees
Record As Road Underdog3-3, 50% 118Record As Home Favorite5-3, 62% 51New York Yankees
When Jaime Garcia Starts1-2, 33% -135When Chris Archer Starts2-3, 40% -164New York Yankees

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

New York YankeesRECORDTampa Bay RaysRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD38-36, 51% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME34-35, 49% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS10-5, 67% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-5, 50% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON39-40, 49% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON39-41, 49% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Jaime Garcia STARTS10-11, 48% OverOVER-UNDER IN Chris Archer STARTS16-13, 55% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 44-32, 58% +867 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 30-41, 42% -906 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Yankees Road Games: 6-9, 40% -150 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 4-6, 40% -211

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 37-39, 49% -573 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 33-38, 46% -1124 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Yankees Road Games: 8-7, 53% -123 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 6-4, 60% +44

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 31-37, 46% -970 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 21-38, 36% -2080 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Yankees Road Games: 3-10, 23% -800 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 6-2, 75% + 380

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