September 13, 2017 5:10 AM CDT

New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs 9/13/2017

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The Chicago Cubs are 40-32 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the New York Mets who are 30-39 on the road this season. The Cubs have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Cubs\' starter Jon Lester is forecasted to have a better game than Mets\' starter Matt Harvey. Jon Lester has a 54% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Matt Harvey has a 30% chance of a QS. If Jon Lester has a quality start the Cubs has a 85% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.6 and he has a 49% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 79%. In Matt Harvey quality starts the Mets win 40%. He has a 16% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 40% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Anthony Rizzo who averaged 2.47 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 86% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is Norichika Aoki who averaged 1.78 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 26% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 37% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Mets

New York MetsRECORDChicago CubsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road30-39, 43% -755Record at Home40-32, 56% -848New York Mets
VS Chicago Cubs2-1, 67% 88VS New York Mets1-2, 33% -120New York Mets
vs Team .500 or Better20-47, 30% -2657vs Team Under .50051-33, 61% -60Chicago Cubs
Record As Road Underdog22-27, 45% -129Record As Home Favorite39-32, 55% -992New York Mets
When Matt Harvey Starts7-8, 47% -190When Jon Lester Starts16-12, 57% -161Chicago Cubs

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs

New York MetsRECORDChicago CubsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-9, 25% -566Record at Home11-6, 65% -50Chicago Cubs
VS Chicago Cubs0-0 No GamesVS New York Mets0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better7-15, 32% -686vs Team Under .50012-5, 71% 154Chicago Cubs
Record As Road Underdog2-7, 22% -436Record As Home Favorite11-6, 65% -50Chicago Cubs
When Matt Harvey Starts2-1, 67% 95When Jon Lester Starts2-1, 67% 18New York Mets

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

New York MetsRECORDChicago CubsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD42-23, 65% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME43-29, 60% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-4, 64% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS8-9, 47% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON37-43, 46% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON33-53, 38% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Matt Harvey STARTS9-3, 75% OverOVER-UNDER IN Jon Lester STARTS16-10, 62% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 36-33, 52% +413 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 35-37, 49% +651 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 9-3, 75% +547 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 9-8, 53% +262

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 40-29, 58% +167 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 43-29, 60% -169 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 9-3, 75% +306 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 11-6, 65% -50

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 28-27, 51% -170 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 35-36, 49% -460 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 6-4, 60% + 160 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 8-9, 47% -190

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