September 13, 2017 5:10 AM CDT

Houston Astros vs Los Angeles Angels 9/13/2017

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The Los Angeles Angels are 38-31 at home this season and the Houston Astros are 45-25 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Tyler Skaggs has a 42% chance of a QS and Lance McCullers a 41% chance. If Tyler Skaggs has a quality start the Angels has a 76% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.9 and he has a 26% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Angels win 54%. If Lance McCullers has a quality start the Astros has a 71% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.1 and he has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Astros win 51%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Angels is Mike Trout who averaged 2.85 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 54% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Angels have a 59% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Jose Altuve who averaged 2.46 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 61% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Houston Astros

Houston AstrosRECORDLos Angeles AngelsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road45-25, 64% 1096Record at Home38-31, 55% 253Houston Astros
VS Los Angeles Angels8-5, 62% 94VS Houston Astros5-8, 38% -145Houston Astros
vs Team .500 or Better32-26, 55% -131vs Team .500 or Better25-34, 42% -211Houston Astros
Record as Road Favorite38-19, 67% 914Record as Home Underdog12-11, 52% 290Houston Astros
When Lance McCullers Starts13-7, 65% 162When Tyler Skaggs Starts4-7, 36% -234Houston Astros

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Houston Astros

Houston AstrosRECORDLos Angeles AngelsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-5, 55% -35Record at Home5-5, 50% -126Houston Astros
VS Los Angeles Angels2-1, 67% 72VS Houston Astros1-2, 33% -95Houston Astros
vs Team .500 or Better6-7, 46% -242vs Team .500 or Better6-9, 40% -284Houston Astros
Record as Road Favorite6-4, 60% 65Record as Home Underdog1-2, 33% -95Houston Astros
When Lance McCullers Starts1-0, 100% 72When Tyler Skaggs Starts1-4, 20% -295Houston Astros

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Houston AstrosRECORDLos Angeles AngelsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD42-23, 65% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME31-32, 49% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-5, 55% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-3, 67% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON43-37, 54% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON37-42, 47% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Lance McCullers STARTS10-10, 50% OverOVER-UNDER IN Tyler Skaggs STARTS5-5, 50% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 40-30, 57% +151 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 35-34, 51% -80 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 7-4, 64% +246 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 6-4, 60% +252

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 38-32, 54% -252 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 33-36, 48% -1002 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 6-5, 55% -15 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 7-3, 70% +281

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 22-37, 37% -1870 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 30-27, 53% + 30 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 5-5, 50% -50 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 3-4, 43% -140

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