September 13, 2017 5:10 AM CDT

Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays 9/13/2017

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The Toronto Blue Jays are 38-35 at home this season and the Baltimore Orioles are 27-43 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Blue Jays\' starter Marcus Stroman is forecasted to have a better game than Orioles\' starter Kevin Gausman. Marcus Stroman has a 51% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Kevin Gausman has a 38% chance of a QS. If Marcus Stroman has a quality start the Blue Jays has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.5 and he has a 47% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Blue Jays win 58%. In Kevin Gausman quality starts the Orioles win 71%. He has a 19% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 71% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is Josh Donaldson who averaged 2.49 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 65% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Manny Machado who averaged 2.06 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 33% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 63% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Baltimore Orioles

Baltimore OriolesRECORDToronto Blue JaysRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road27-43, 39% -1224Record at Home38-35, 52% -321Toronto Blue Jays
VS Toronto Blue Jays11-6, 65% 553VS Baltimore Orioles6-11, 35% -560Baltimore Orioles
vs Team Under .50039-28, 58% 821vs Team .500 or Better27-42, 39% -1241Baltimore Orioles
Record As Road Underdog20-30, 40% -528Record As Home Favorite29-28, 51% -704Baltimore Orioles
When Kevin Gausman Starts15-14, 52% 20When Marcus Stroman Starts16-12, 57% 73Toronto Blue Jays

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Baltimore Orioles

Baltimore OriolesRECORDToronto Blue JaysRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road4-6, 40% -111Record at Home7-7, 50% -113Baltimore Orioles
VS Toronto Blue Jays2-3, 40% -157VS Baltimore Orioles3-2, 60% 105Toronto Blue Jays
vs Team Under .5008-6, 57% -7vs Team .500 or Better5-12, 29% -672Baltimore Orioles
Record As Road Underdog3-4, 43% 1Record As Home Favorite5-6, 45% -254Baltimore Orioles
When Kevin Gausman Starts3-2, 60% 84When Marcus Stroman Starts3-2, 60% 71Baltimore Orioles

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Baltimore OriolesRECORDToronto Blue JaysRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD30-37, 45% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME31-39, 44% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-7, 30% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-9, 31% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON39-42, 48% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON38-47, 45% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Kevin Gausman STARTS14-15, 48% OverOVER-UNDER IN Marcus Stroman STARTS13-12, 52% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 35-35, 50% +238 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 36-37, 49% +242 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 4-6, 40% -199 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 4-10, 29% -410

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 43-27, 61% +738 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 38-35, 52% -537 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 5-5, 50% -152 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 7-7, 50% -208

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 29-29, 50% -290 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 34-33, 51% -230 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 4-3, 57% + 70 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 7-4, 64% + 260

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