September 13, 2017 5:10 AM CDT

Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals 9/13/2017

AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview  
Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW

The Washington Nationals are 43-28 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Atlanta Braves who are 31-39 on the road this season. The Nationals have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Nationals\' starter Max Scherzer is forecasted to have a better game than Braves\' starter Luiz Gohara. Max Scherzer has a 42% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Luiz Gohara has a 15% chance of a QS. If Max Scherzer has a quality start the Nationals has a 88% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.6 and he has a 43% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Nationals win 81%. In Luiz Gohara quality starts the Braves win 44%. He has a 10% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 44% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is Daniel Murphy who averaged 2.87 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 52% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 84% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Freddie Freeman who averaged 2.41 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 41% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 34% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Atlanta Braves

Atlanta BravesRECORDWashington NationalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road31-39, 44% 552Record at Home43-28, 61% -259Atlanta Braves
VS Washington Nationals6-7, 46% 318VS Atlanta Braves7-6, 54% -180Atlanta Braves
vs Team .500 or Better24-38, 39% -356vs Team Under .50064-33, 66% 1065Washington Nationals
Record As Road Underdog30-36, 45% 767Record As Home Favorite41-27, 60% -377Atlanta Braves
When Luiz Gohara Starts0-0 No GamesWhen Max Scherzer Starts20-8, 71% 260Washington Nationals

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Nationals

Atlanta BravesRECORDWashington NationalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-6, 45% 102Record at Home9-4, 69% 130Washington Nationals
VS Washington Nationals0-0 No GamesVS Atlanta Braves0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better6-11, 35% -293vs Team Under .50011-3, 79% 401Washington Nationals
Record As Road Underdog4-6, 40% 17Record As Home Favorite8-3, 73% 124Washington Nationals
When Luiz Gohara Starts0-0 No GamesWhen Max Scherzer Starts4-0, 100% 181Washington Nationals

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Atlanta BravesRECORDWashington NationalsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD42-27, 61% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME31-34, 48% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-7, 36% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-6, 50% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON38-40, 49% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON41-37, 53% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Luiz Gohara STARTS0-0 No GamesOVER-UNDER IN Max Scherzer STARTS15-12, 56% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 29-41, 41% -331 Washington Nationals Home Games: 32-39, 45% -979 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 3-8, 27% -345 Washington Nationals Home Games: 4-9, 31% -411

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 38-32, 54% -531 Washington Nationals Home Games: 43-28, 61% -217 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 7-4, 64% +20 Washington Nationals Home Games: 9-4, 69% +130

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 24-39, 38% -1890 Washington Nationals Home Games: 28-24, 54% + 160 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 4-6, 40% -260 Washington Nationals Home Games: 5-3, 62% + 170

Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game

Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW