August 09, 2018 8:05 AM CDT

Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals 8/9/2018

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The Washington Nationals are 28-27 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Atlanta Braves who are 33-25 on the road this season. The Nationals have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Nationals\' starter Gio Gonzalez is forecasted to have a better game than Braves\' starter Anibal Sanchez. Gio Gonzalez has a 40% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Anibal Sanchez has a 33% chance of a QS. If Gio Gonzalez has a quality start the Nationals has a 70% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.1 and he has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Nationals win 58%. In Anibal Sanchez quality starts the Braves win 60%. He has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 60% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is Juan Soto who averaged 2.35 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 66% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Freddie Freeman who averaged 2.23 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 57% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Atlanta Braves

Atlanta BravesRECORDWashington NationalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road33-25, 57% 1407Record at Home28-27, 51% -998Atlanta Braves
VS Washington Nationals8-5, 62% 560VS Atlanta Braves5-8, 38% -506Atlanta Braves
vs Team .500 or Better31-27, 53% 1169vs Team .500 or Better26-35, 43% -1405Atlanta Braves
Record As Road Underdog20-19, 51% 927Record As Home Favorite25-24, 51% -1021Atlanta Braves
When Anibal Sanchez Starts8-3, 73% 665When Gio Gonzalez Starts10-12, 45% -457Atlanta Braves

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Atlanta Braves

Atlanta BravesRECORDWashington NationalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-3, 67% 388Record at Home6-3, 67% 67Atlanta Braves
VS Washington Nationals2-1, 67% 238VS Atlanta Braves1-2, 33% -154Atlanta Braves
vs Team .500 or Better4-6, 40% -45vs Team Under .50010-7, 59% -52Atlanta Braves
Record As Road Underdog3-1, 75% 366Record As Home Favorite5-3, 62% -35Atlanta Braves
When Anibal Sanchez Starts2-2, 50% 83When Gio Gonzalez Starts0-4, 0% -400Atlanta Braves

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Atlanta BravesRECORDWashington NationalsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD31-26, 54% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME26-28, 48% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-4, 56% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-5, 44% OverN/A
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON47-32, 59% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON35-40, 47% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Anibal Sanchez STARTS3-7, 30% OverOVER-UNDER IN Gio Gonzalez STARTS6-16, 27% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 29-29, 50% -99 Washington Nationals Home Games: 31-24, 56% +1312 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 4-5, 44% +359 Washington Nationals Home Games: 5-4, 56% +177

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 34-24, 59% +273 Washington Nationals Home Games: 29-26, 53% -816 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 4-5, 44% -192 Washington Nationals Home Games: 6-3, 67% +67

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 23-32, 42% -1220 Washington Nationals Home Games: 23-27, 46% -670 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 3-5, 38% -250 Washington Nationals Home Games: 6-2, 75% + 380

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