August 10, 2018 7:47 AM CDT

Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays 8/10/2018

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The Toronto Blue Jays are 27-29 at home this season and the Tampa Bay Rays are 24-33 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Blue Jays\' starter Marco Estrada is forecasted to have a better game than Rays\' starter Blake Snell. Marco Estrada has a 63% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Blake Snell has a 50% chance of a QS. If Marco Estrada has a quality start the Blue Jays has a 71% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.7 and he has a 42% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Blue Jays win 60%. In Blake Snell quality starts the Rays win 66%. He has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 66% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is Justin Smoak who averaged 1.86 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 28% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 67% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Tampa Bay Rays is Michael Perez who averaged 2.12 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rays have a 63% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Rays

Tampa Bay RaysRECORDToronto Blue JaysRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road24-33, 42% -409Record at Home27-29, 48% -713Tampa Bay Rays
VS Toronto Blue Jays5-1, 83% 431VS Tampa Bay Rays1-5, 17% -376Tampa Bay Rays
vs Team Under .50037-24, 61% 1055vs Team .500 or Better22-41, 35% -1157Tampa Bay Rays
Record as Road Favorite8-10, 44% -352Record as Home Underdog9-16, 36% -522Tampa Bay Rays
When Blake Snell Starts12-9, 57% 415When Marco Estrada Starts9-12, 43% -89Tampa Bay Rays

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Blue Jays

Tampa Bay RaysRECORDToronto Blue JaysRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road2-6, 25% -396Record at Home3-4, 43% -222Toronto Blue Jays
VS Toronto Blue Jays0-0 No GamesVS Tampa Bay Rays0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5007-5, 58% 71vs Team .500 or Better3-12, 20% -842Tampa Bay Rays
Record as Road Favorite1-4, 20% -320Record as Home Underdog0-2, 0% -200Toronto Blue Jays
When Blake Snell Starts0-2, 0% -200When Marco Estrada Starts1-3, 25% -94Toronto Blue Jays

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Tampa Bay RaysRECORDToronto Blue JaysRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD26-30, 46% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME22-29, 43% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-2, 75% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-2, 67% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON41-37, 53% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON34-44, 44% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Blake Snell STARTS9-12, 43% OverOVER-UNDER IN Marco Estrada STARTS10-11, 48% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 31-26, 54% +932 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 23-33, 41% -933 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 7-1, 88% +639 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 5-2, 71% +261

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 31-26, 54% -246 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 33-23, 59% +128 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 6-2, 75% +409 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 7-0, 100% +569

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 30-21, 59% + 690 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 29-20, 59% + 700 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 3-5, 38% -250 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 2-3, 40% -130

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