August 10, 2018 7:47 AM CDT

St. Louis Cardinals vs Kansas City Royals 8/10/2018

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The St. Louis Cardinals are 30-28 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Kansas City Royals who are 15-39 at home. The Cardinals have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Cardinals\' starter Austin Gomber is forecasted to have a better game than Royals\' starter Burch Smith. Austin Gomber has a 46% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Burch Smith has a 39% chance of a QS. If Austin Gomber has a quality start the Cardinals has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.1 and he has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cardinals win 59%. In Burch Smith quality starts the Royals win 67%. He has a 17% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 67% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Kansas City Royals is Whit Merrifield who averaged 2.23 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Royals have a 53% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Matt Carpenter who averaged 2.79 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 49% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 68% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals

St. Louis CardinalsRECORDKansas City RoyalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road30-28, 52% -19Record at Home15-39, 28% -2195St. Louis Cardinals
VS Kansas City Royals1-2, 33% -150VS St. Louis Cardinals2-1, 67% 247Kansas City Royals
vs Team Under .50026-23, 53% -484vs Team .500 or Better12-41, 23% -1821St. Louis Cardinals
Record as Road Favorite20-12, 62% 390Record as Home Underdog10-25, 29% -1204St. Louis Cardinals
When Austin Gomber Starts2-0, 100% 193When Burch Smith Starts1-4, 20% -294St. Louis Cardinals

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Kansas City Royals

St. Louis CardinalsRECORDKansas City RoyalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-7, 46% -91Record at Home4-4, 50% 71Kansas City Royals
VS Kansas City Royals0-0 No GamesVS St. Louis Cardinals0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5003-5, 38% -280vs Team .500 or Better7-12, 37% -196Kansas City Royals
Record as Road Favorite3-3, 50% -52Record as Home Underdog4-3, 57% 171Kansas City Royals
When Austin Gomber Starts2-0, 100% 193When Burch Smith Starts1-4, 20% -294St. Louis Cardinals

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

St. Louis CardinalsRECORDKansas City RoyalsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD29-25, 54% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME22-27, 45% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-6, 54% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-5, 29% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON42-36, 54% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON36-45, 44% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Austin Gomber STARTS1-1, 50% OverOVER-UNDER IN Burch Smith STARTS3-0, 100% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 25-33, 43% -901 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 20-34, 37% -1314 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 4-9, 31% -409 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 2-6, 25% -489

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 34-24, 59% +507 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 32-22, 59% +159 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 8-5, 62% +160 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 2-6, 25% -489

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 26-27, 49% -370 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 23-23, 50% -230 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 7-6, 54% + 40 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 5-2, 71% + 280

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