August 10, 2018 7:47 AM CDT

Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros 8/10/2018

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The Houston Astros are 32-24 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Seattle Mariners who are 29-25 on the road this season. The Astros have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Astros\' starter Gerrit Cole is forecasted to have a better game than Mariners\' starter Mike Leake. Gerrit Cole has a 63% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Mike Leake has a 50% chance of a QS. If Gerrit Cole has a quality start the Astros has a 77% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.8 and he has a 42% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Astros win 64%. In Mike Leake quality starts the Mariners win 58%. He has a 18% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 58% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Jose Altuve who averaged 2.02 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 31% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 74% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Seattle Mariners is Nelson Cruz who averaged 1.8 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 28% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mariners have a 54% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Seattle Mariners

Seattle MarinersRECORDHouston AstrosRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road29-25, 54% 358Record at Home32-24, 57% -912Seattle Mariners
VS Houston Astros3-6, 33% -269VS Seattle Mariners6-3, 67% 77Houston Astros
vs Team .500 or Better24-24, 50% 27vs Team .500 or Better30-25, 55% -439Seattle Mariners
Record As Road Underdog13-18, 42% -189Record As Home Favorite31-23, 57% -929Seattle Mariners
When Mike Leake Starts15-8, 65% 805When Gerrit Cole Starts17-6, 74% 296Seattle Mariners

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Seattle Mariners

Seattle MarinersRECORDHouston AstrosRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-7, 30% -410Record at Home2-6, 25% -524Seattle Mariners
VS Houston Astros1-2, 33% -97VS Seattle Mariners2-1, 67% 48Houston Astros
vs Team .500 or Better3-6, 33% -400vs Team Under .5008-6, 57% -65Houston Astros
Record As Road Underdog2-6, 25% -390Record As Home Favorite2-6, 25% -524Seattle Mariners
When Mike Leake Starts2-2, 50% -59When Gerrit Cole Starts2-2, 50% -101Seattle Mariners

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Seattle MarinersRECORDHouston AstrosRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD29-25, 54% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME27-29, 48% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-5, 50% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-2, 75% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON36-39, 48% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON38-50, 43% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Mike Leake STARTS12-9, 57% OverOVER-UNDER IN Gerrit Cole STARTS10-11, 48% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 26-28, 48% -584 Houston Astros Home Games: 28-28, 50% +1531 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 6-4, 60% +145 Houston Astros Home Games: 7-1, 88% +1417

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 34-20, 63% +627 Houston Astros Home Games: 32-24, 57% -885 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 10-0, 100% +842 Houston Astros Home Games: 2-6, 25% -524

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 25-25, 50% -250 Houston Astros Home Games: 23-27, 46% -670 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 4-5, 44% -150 Houston Astros Home Games: 3-4, 43% -140

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