August 10, 2018 7:47 AM CDT

Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Francisco Giants 8/10/2018

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The San Francisco Giants are 32-24 at home this season and the Pittsburgh Pirates are 25-27 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Derek Holland has a 46% chance of a QS and Joe Musgrove a 43% chance. If Derek Holland has a quality start the Giants has a 68% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.5 and he has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Giants win 55%. If Joe Musgrove has a quality start the Pirates has a 61% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.7 and he has a 33% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Pirates win 52%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the San Francisco Giants is Brandon Belt who averaged 2.02 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 31% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Giants have a 66% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Starling Marte who averaged 1.83 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 28% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 63% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Francisco Giants

Pittsburgh PiratesRECORDSan Francisco GiantsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road25-27, 48% 77Record at Home32-24, 57% 434San Francisco Giants
VS San Francisco Giants2-1, 67% 52VS Pittsburgh Pirates1-2, 33% -72Pittsburgh Pirates
vs Team Under .50030-15, 67% 999vs Team .500 or Better42-47, 47% 335Pittsburgh Pirates
Record As Road Underdog17-23, 42% -180Record As Home Favorite23-15, 61% 284San Francisco Giants
When Joe Musgrove Starts5-7, 42% -87When Derek Holland Starts10-9, 53% 313San Francisco Giants

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Pirates

Pittsburgh PiratesRECORDSan Francisco GiantsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-2, 75% 583Record at Home3-7, 30% -407Pittsburgh Pirates
VS San Francisco Giants0-0 No GamesVS Pittsburgh Pirates0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .50010-2, 83% 765vs Team .500 or Better5-8, 38% -196Pittsburgh Pirates
Record As Road Underdog5-2, 71% 491Record As Home Favorite1-6, 14% -529Pittsburgh Pirates
When Joe Musgrove Starts2-2, 50% 44When Derek Holland Starts2-1, 67% 156San Francisco Giants

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Pittsburgh PiratesRECORDSan Francisco GiantsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD29-21, 58% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME30-23, 57% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-4, 50% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-4, 60% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON30-49, 38% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON33-44, 43% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Joe Musgrove STARTS7-5, 58% OverOVER-UNDER IN Derek Holland STARTS7-11, 39% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 24-28, 46% -443 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 27-29, 48% -383 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 5-3, 62% +295 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 3-7, 30% -407

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 30-22, 58% +114 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 28-28, 50% -459 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 3-5, 38% -278 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 3-7, 30% -407

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 23-24, 49% -340 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 26-22, 54% + 180 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 4-3, 57% + 70 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 4-6, 40% -260

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