August 10, 2018 7:47 AM CDT

Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres 8/10/2018

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The Philadelphia Phillies are 25-31 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the San Diego Padres who are 20-36 at home. The Phillies have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Phillies\' starter Zach Eflin is forecasted to have a better game than Padres\' starter SD Pitcher. Zach Eflin has a 45% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while SD Pitcher has a 39% chance of a QS. If Zach Eflin has a quality start the Phillies has a 70% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.8 and he has a 52% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Phillies win 64%. In SD Pitcher quality starts the Padres win 57%. He has a 26% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 57% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Eric Hosmer who averaged 1.62 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 23% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 52% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Rhys Hoskins who averaged 2.1 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 75% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Philadelphia Phillies

Philadelphia PhilliesRECORDSan Diego PadresRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road25-31, 45% -344Record at Home20-36, 36% -1592Philadelphia Phillies
VS San Diego Padres2-1, 67% 24VS Philadelphia Phillies1-2, 33% -59Philadelphia Phillies
vs Team Under .50025-19, 57% -140vs Team .500 or Better30-53, 36% -1159Philadelphia Phillies
Record as Road Favorite10-9, 53% -93Record as Home Underdog9-28, 24% -1685Philadelphia Phillies
When Zach Eflin Starts10-6, 62% 427When SD Pitcher Starts0-3, 0% -300Philadelphia Phillies

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Philadelphia Phillies

Philadelphia PhilliesRECORDSan Diego PadresRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road4-8, 33% -320Record at Home0-10, 0% -1000Philadelphia Phillies
VS San Diego Padres2-1, 67% 24VS Philadelphia Phillies1-2, 33% -59Philadelphia Phillies
vs Team Under .5008-7, 53% -115vs Team .500 or Better3-12, 20% -717Philadelphia Phillies
Record as Road Favorite1-4, 20% -324Record as Home Underdog0-9, 0% -900Philadelphia Phillies
When Zach Eflin Starts1-2, 33% -110When SD Pitcher Starts0-0 No GamesSan Diego Padres

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Philadelphia PhilliesRECORDSan Diego PadresRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD22-31, 42% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME33-21, 61% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-9, 25% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-3, 67% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON39-37, 51% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON40-34, 54% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Zach Eflin STARTS6-10, 38% OverOVER-UNDER IN SD Pitcher STARTS2-1, 67% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 30-26, 54% +512 San Diego Padres Home Games: 25-31, 45% -946 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 8-4, 67% +549 San Diego Padres Home Games: 7-3, 70% +237

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 31-25, 55% +203 San Diego Padres Home Games: 35-21, 62% +506 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 7-5, 58% +150 San Diego Padres Home Games: 10-0, 100% +716

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 26-27, 49% -370 San Diego Padres Home Games: 25-27, 48% -470 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 8-4, 67% + 360 San Diego Padres Home Games: 2-5, 29% -350

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