August 10, 2018 7:47 AM CDT

Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers 8/10/2018

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The Detroit Tigers are 29-27 at home this season and the Minnesota Twins are 20-35 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Twins\' starter Ervin Santana is forecasted to have a better game than Tigers\' starter Jordan Zimmermann. Ervin Santana has a 52% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Jordan Zimmermann has a 46% chance of a QS. If Ervin Santana has a quality start the Twins has a 70% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.1 and he has a 47% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Twins win 59%. In Jordan Zimmermann quality starts the Tigers win 68%. He has a 38% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 68% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Nick Castellanos who averaged 1.99 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 31% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 58% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Minnesota Twins is Eddie Rosario who averaged 2.13 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Twins have a 69% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Detroit Tigers

Minnesota TwinsRECORDDetroit TigersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road20-35, 36% -1126Record at Home29-27, 52% 885Detroit Tigers
VS Detroit Tigers3-3, 50% -90VS Minnesota Twins3-3, 50% 92Detroit Tigers
vs Team Under .50031-25, 55% -119vs Team .500 or Better14-42, 25% -1905Minnesota Twins
Record As Road Underdog14-23, 38% -390Record As Home Favorite9-8, 53% -12Detroit Tigers
When Ervin Santana Starts3-0, 100% 293When Jordan Zimmermann Starts6-8, 43% -25Minnesota Twins

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Minnesota Twins

Minnesota TwinsRECORDDetroit TigersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-7, 42% -43Record at Home4-4, 50% 87Detroit Tigers
VS Detroit Tigers0-0 No GamesVS Minnesota Twins0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .50010-4, 71% 411vs Team .500 or Better3-9, 25% -278Minnesota Twins
Record As Road Underdog4-3, 57% 270Record As Home Favorite1-0, 100% 83Minnesota Twins
When Ervin Santana Starts3-0, 100% 293When Jordan Zimmermann Starts0-4, 0% -400Minnesota Twins

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Minnesota TwinsRECORDDetroit TigersRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD28-25, 53% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME26-28, 48% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-7, 42% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-4, 50% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON37-40, 48% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON48-30, 62% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Ervin Santana STARTS3-0, 100% OverOVER-UNDER IN Jordan Zimmermann STARTS6-6, 50% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 29-26, 53% +600 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 25-31, 45% -282 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 6-6, 50% +117 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 3-5, 38% -138

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 35-20, 64% +893 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 22-34, 39% -1734 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 7-5, 58% +83 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 5-3, 62% -41

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 25-23, 52% -30 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 28-25, 53% + 50 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 7-4, 64% + 260 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 4-4, 50% -40

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