August 10, 2018 7:47 AM CDT

Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves 8/10/2018

AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview  
Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW

The Atlanta Braves are 28-23 at home this season and the Milwaukee Brewers are 30-28 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Braves\' starter Kevin Gausman is forecasted to have a better game than Brewers\' starter Freddy Peralta. Kevin Gausman has a 43% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Freddy Peralta has a 34% chance of a QS. If Kevin Gausman has a quality start the Braves has a 70% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.6 and he has a 41% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Braves win 58%. In Freddy Peralta quality starts the Brewers win 63%. He has a 22% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 63% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Freddie Freeman who averaged 2.34 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 67% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is Jesus Aguilar who averaged 2.26 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 61% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee BrewersRECORDAtlanta BravesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road30-28, 52% 386Record at Home28-23, 55% 270Milwaukee Brewers
VS Atlanta Braves3-1, 75% 138VS Milwaukee Brewers1-3, 25% -205Milwaukee Brewers
vs Team .500 or Better34-37, 48% -27vs Team .500 or Better31-27, 53% 1169Atlanta Braves
Record as Road Favorite11-11, 50% -213Record as Home Underdog12-8, 60% 647Atlanta Braves
When Freddy Peralta Starts6-3, 67% 231When Kevin Gausman Starts6-15, 29% -926Milwaukee Brewers

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Atlanta Braves

Milwaukee BrewersRECORDAtlanta BravesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-9, 36% -285Record at Home5-5, 50% -102Atlanta Braves
VS Atlanta Braves0-0 No GamesVS Milwaukee Brewers0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better7-11, 39% -290vs Team .500 or Better4-6, 40% -45Atlanta Braves
Record as Road Favorite0-5, 0% -500Record as Home Underdog2-3, 40% -83Atlanta Braves
When Freddy Peralta Starts2-2, 50% 11When Kevin Gausman Starts1-2, 33% -109Milwaukee Brewers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Milwaukee BrewersRECORDAtlanta BravesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD29-29, 50% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME22-26, 46% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS9-5, 64% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-7, 30% OverN/A
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON32-43, 43% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON35-43, 45% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Freddy Peralta STARTS6-3, 67% OverOVER-UNDER IN Kevin Gausman STARTS7-13, 35% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 23-35, 40% -1023 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 26-25, 51% +39 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 7-7, 50% +115 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 5-5, 50% -125

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 32-26, 55% -11 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 27-24, 53% -217 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 7-7, 50% -87 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 7-3, 70% +199

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 23-30, 43% -1000 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 30-17, 64% + 1130 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 2-10, 17% -900 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 6-3, 67% + 270

Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game

Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW