August 10, 2018 7:47 AM CDT

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati Reds 8/10/2018

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The Cincinnati Reds are 26-31 at home this season and the Arizona Diamondbacks are 32-23 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Reds\' starter Anthony DeSclafani is forecasted to have a better game than Diamondbacks\' starter Clay Buchholz. Anthony DeSclafani has a 42% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Clay Buchholz has a 32% chance of a QS. If Anthony DeSclafani has a quality start the Reds has a 70% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.2 and he has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Reds win 59%. In Clay Buchholz quality starts the Diamondbacks win 59%. He has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 59% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Cincinnati Reds is Joey Votto who averaged 2.4 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 41% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Reds have a 63% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Arizona Diamondbacks is Paul Goldschmidt who averaged 2.33 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Diamondbacks have a 58% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Arizona Diamondbacks

Arizona DiamondbacksRECORDCincinnati RedsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road32-23, 58% 963Record at Home26-31, 46% -458Arizona Diamondbacks
VS Cincinnati Reds2-1, 67% 53VS Arizona Diamondbacks1-2, 33% -6Arizona Diamondbacks
vs Team Under .50026-21, 55% -205vs Team .500 or Better36-52, 41% -539Arizona Diamondbacks
Record as Road Favorite11-6, 65% 241Record as Home Underdog15-21, 42% -313Arizona Diamondbacks
When Clay Buchholz Starts5-4, 56% 65When Anthony DeSclafani Starts6-3, 67% 499Cincinnati Reds

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Arizona Diamondbacks

Arizona DiamondbacksRECORDCincinnati RedsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road7-5, 58% 187Record at Home5-5, 50% -4Arizona Diamondbacks
VS Cincinnati Reds0-0 No GamesVS Arizona Diamondbacks0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5006-3, 67% 99vs Team Under .5001-3, 25% -201Arizona Diamondbacks
Record as Road Favorite3-1, 75% 111Record as Home Underdog3-1, 75% 235Cincinnati Reds
When Clay Buchholz Starts3-0, 100% 318When Anthony DeSclafani Starts2-1, 67% 168Arizona Diamondbacks

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Arizona DiamondbacksRECORDCincinnati RedsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD28-25, 53% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME32-22, 59% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-6, 45% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-5, 50% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON33-46, 42% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON40-39, 51% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Clay Buchholz STARTS5-4, 56% OverOVER-UNDER IN Anthony DeSclafani STARTS7-1, 88% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 24-31, 44% -931 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 23-34, 40% -948 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 6-6, 50% -253 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 6-4, 60% +271

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 25-30, 45% -1015 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 35-22, 61% +881 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 8-4, 67% +255 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 5-5, 50% +34

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 25-25, 50% -250 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 21-32, 40% -1420 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 5-5, 50% -50 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 5-5, 50% -50

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