July 11, 2018 6:44 AM CDT

Washington Nationals vs Pittsburgh Pirates 7/11/2018

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The Washington Nationals are 24-21 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Pittsburgh Pirates who are 23-24 at home. The Nationals have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Trevor Williams has a 36% chance of a QS and Gio Gonzalez a 32% chance. If Trevor Williams has a quality start the Pirates has a 64% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.4 and he has a 19% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Pirates win 51%. If Gio Gonzalez has a quality start the Nationals has a 69% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.4 and he has a 18% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Nationals win 63%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Gregory Polanco who averaged 2.1 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 54% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is Juan Soto who averaged 2.57 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 45% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 72% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Pirates

Washington NationalsRECORDPittsburgh PiratesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road24-21, 53% -116Record at Home23-24, 49% -445Washington Nationals
VS Pittsburgh Pirates5-1, 83% 278VS Washington Nationals1-5, 17% -399Washington Nationals
vs Team Under .50025-12, 68% 428vs Team Under .50023-12, 66% 646Pittsburgh Pirates
Record as Road Favorite17-14, 55% -282Record as Home Underdog8-9, 47% -21Pittsburgh Pirates
When Gio Gonzalez Starts10-8, 56% -57When Trevor Williams Starts8-9, 47% -55Pittsburgh Pirates

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Pirates

Washington NationalsRECORDPittsburgh PiratesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-10, 23% -649Record at Home5-9, 36% -467Pittsburgh Pirates
VS Pittsburgh Pirates1-1, 50% -15VS Washington Nationals1-1, 50% 1Pittsburgh Pirates
vs Team Under .5003-5, 38% -331vs Team Under .5005-3, 62% 208Pittsburgh Pirates
Record as Road Favorite1-6, 14% -515Record as Home Underdog2-5, 29% -288Pittsburgh Pirates
When Gio Gonzalez Starts1-4, 20% -350When Trevor Williams Starts1-4, 20% -289Pittsburgh Pirates

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Washington NationalsRECORDPittsburgh PiratesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD15-28, 35% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME20-24, 45% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-9, 31% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-10, 29% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON35-43, 45% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON35-43, 45% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Gio Gonzalez STARTS6-12, 33% OverOVER-UNDER IN Trevor Williams STARTS7-9, 44% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 24-21, 53% +312 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 20-27, 43% -758 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 9-4, 69% +623 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 5-9, 36% -400

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 25-20, 56% +33 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 24-23, 51% -275 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 7-6, 54% +110 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 6-8, 43% -282

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 33-7, 82% + 2530 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 26-17, 60% + 730 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 10-3, 77% + 670 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 9-4, 69% + 460

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