July 11, 2018 6:44 AM CDT

Texas Rangers vs Boston Red Sox 7/11/2018

AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview  
Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW

The Boston Red Sox are 30-12 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Texas Rangers who are 21-25 on the road this season. The Red Sox have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Red Sox\' starter Chris Sale is forecasted to have a better game than Rangers\' starter Bartolo Colon. Chris Sale has a 63% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Bartolo Colon has a 42% chance of a QS. If Chris Sale has a quality start the Red Sox has a 82% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.3 and he has a 34% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Red Sox win 69%. In Bartolo Colon quality starts the Rangers win 55%. He has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 55% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Boston Red Sox is Mookie Betts who averaged 2.42 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Red Sox have a 77% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Texas Rangers is Shin-Soo Choo who averaged 1.88 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 29% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rangers have a 49% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Boston Red Sox

Texas RangersRECORDBoston Red SoxRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road21-25, 46% 462Record at Home30-12, 71% 518Boston Red Sox
VS Boston Red Sox1-5, 17% -367VS Texas Rangers5-1, 83% 167Boston Red Sox
vs Team .500 or Better21-39, 35% -811vs Team Under .50032-10, 76% 793Boston Red Sox
Record As Road Underdog18-22, 45% 508Record As Home Favorite30-12, 71% 518Boston Red Sox
When Bartolo Colon Starts8-8, 50% 179When Chris Sale Starts11-8, 58% -261Texas Rangers

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Boston Red Sox

Texas RangersRECORDBoston Red SoxRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road7-7, 50% 29Record at Home7-1, 88% 322Boston Red Sox
VS Boston Red Sox0-2, 0% -200VS Texas Rangers2-0, 100% 96Boston Red Sox
vs Team .500 or Better2-7, 22% -489vs Team .500 or Better7-5, 58% -61Boston Red Sox
Record As Road Underdog6-6, 50% 55Record As Home Favorite7-1, 88% 322Boston Red Sox
When Bartolo Colon Starts2-3, 40% -108When Chris Sale Starts4-1, 80% 92Boston Red Sox

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Texas RangersRECORDBoston Red SoxRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD19-26, 42% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME19-19, 50% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-8, 43% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-4, 43% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON36-41, 47% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON30-48, 38% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Bartolo Colon STARTS5-10, 33% OverOVER-UNDER IN Chris Sale STARTS10-9, 53% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 20-26, 43% +101 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 19-23, 45% -68 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 5-9, 36% -300 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 3-5, 38% -199

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 26-20, 57% -269 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 29-13, 69% +336 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 9-5, 64% +161 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 7-1, 88% +322

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 22-20, 52% 0 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 19-16, 54% + 140 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 8-6, 57% + 140 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 4-3, 57% + 70

Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game

Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW