July 11, 2018 6:44 AM CDT

New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles 7/11/2018

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The New York Yankees are 26-18 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Baltimore Orioles who are 14-30 at home. The Yankees have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Dylan Bundy has a 43% chance of a QS and Sonny Gray a 48% chance. If Dylan Bundy has a quality start the Orioles has a 67% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.6 and he has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Orioles win 45%. If Sonny Gray has a quality start the Yankees has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.4 and he has a 28% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Yankees win 57%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Manny Machado who averaged 2.2 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 57% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Yankees is Aaron Judge who averaged 2.31 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Yankees have a 69% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Yankees

New York YankeesRECORDBaltimore OriolesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road26-18, 59% 183Record at Home14-30, 32% -1524New York Yankees
VS Baltimore Orioles4-5, 44% -278VS New York Yankees5-4, 56% 560Baltimore Orioles
vs Team Under .50025-15, 62% -2vs Team .500 or Better15-45, 25% -2304New York Yankees
Record as Road Favorite20-15, 57% -225Record as Home Underdog5-20, 20% -1263New York Yankees
When Sonny Gray Starts8-10, 44% -403When Dylan Bundy Starts7-10, 41% -357Baltimore Orioles

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Yankees

New York YankeesRECORDBaltimore OriolesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-7, 46% -259Record at Home4-12, 25% -651New York Yankees
VS Baltimore Orioles1-2, 33% -144VS New York Yankees2-1, 67% 310Baltimore Orioles
vs Team Under .5005-4, 56% -14vs Team .500 or Better5-13, 28% -548New York Yankees
Record as Road Favorite5-7, 42% -409Record as Home Underdog2-10, 17% -590New York Yankees
When Sonny Gray Starts2-4, 33% -190When Dylan Bundy Starts2-2, 50% -31Baltimore Orioles

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

New York YankeesRECORDBaltimore OriolesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD16-26, 38% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME16-25, 39% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-9, 31% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-9, 40% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON42-44, 49% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON44-36, 55% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Sonny Gray STARTS8-9, 47% OverOVER-UNDER IN Dylan Bundy STARTS7-8, 47% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 20-24, 45% +18 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 18-26, 41% -631 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Yankees Road Games: 5-8, 38% +21 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 7-9, 44% -50

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 23-21, 52% -463 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 26-18, 59% +138 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Yankees Road Games: 6-7, 46% -278 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 9-7, 56% -94

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 20-15, 57% + 350 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 19-20, 49% -300 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Yankees Road Games: 6-5, 55% + 50 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 9-5, 64% + 350

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