July 11, 2018 6:44 AM CDT

Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres 7/11/2018

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The Los Angeles Dodgers are 23-19 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the San Diego Padres who are 20-26 at home. The Dodgers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Dodgers\' starter Kenta Maeda is forecasted to have a better game than Padres\' starter Joey Lucchesi. Kenta Maeda has a 44% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Joey Lucchesi has a 37% chance of a QS. If Kenta Maeda has a quality start the Dodgers has a 76% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5 and he has a 36% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Dodgers win 69%. In Joey Lucchesi quality starts the Padres win 51%. He has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 51% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Eric Hosmer who averaged 1.79 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 26% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 55% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Dodgers is Max Muncy who averaged 2.22 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Dodgers have a 76% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Los Angeles Dodgers

Los Angeles DodgersRECORDSan Diego PadresRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road23-19, 55% 13Record at Home20-26, 43% -592Los Angeles Dodgers
VS San Diego Padres7-4, 64% 2VS Los Angeles Dodgers4-7, 36% -135Los Angeles Dodgers
vs Team Under .50019-13, 59% -134vs Team .500 or Better27-44, 38% -856Los Angeles Dodgers
Record as Road Favorite17-15, 53% -351Record as Home Underdog9-19, 32% -785Los Angeles Dodgers
When Kenta Maeda Starts7-7, 50% -280When Joey Lucchesi Starts6-9, 40% -277San Diego Padres

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Los Angeles Dodgers

Los Angeles DodgersRECORDSan Diego PadresRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-5, 55% -115Record at Home2-5, 29% -264Los Angeles Dodgers
VS San Diego Padres1-1, 50% -57VS Los Angeles Dodgers1-1, 50% 49San Diego Padres
vs Team Under .5008-3, 73% 151vs Team .500 or Better6-15, 29% -694Los Angeles Dodgers
Record as Road Favorite6-3, 67% 85Record as Home Underdog1-2, 33% -51Los Angeles Dodgers
When Kenta Maeda Starts3-2, 60% 0When Joey Lucchesi Starts1-4, 20% -313Los Angeles Dodgers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Los Angeles DodgersRECORDSan Diego PadresRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD21-19, 52% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME27-18, 60% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-8, 27% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-3, 57% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON39-43, 48% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON40-34, 54% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Kenta Maeda STARTS3-10, 23% OverOVER-UNDER IN Joey Lucchesi STARTS6-9, 40% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 21-21, 50% +74 San Diego Padres Home Games: 18-28, 39% -1183 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 6-5, 55% -309 San Diego Padres Home Games: 3-4, 43% -155

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 20-22, 48% -632 San Diego Padres Home Games: 25-21, 54% -211 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 8-3, 73% +286 San Diego Padres Home Games: 3-4, 43% -155

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 19-17, 53% + 30 San Diego Padres Home Games: 23-22, 51% -120 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 4-5, 44% -150 San Diego Padres Home Games: 2-5, 29% -350

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