July 11, 2018 6:44 AM CDT

Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins 7/11/2018

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The Minnesota Twins are 25-21 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Kansas City Royals who are 15-30 on the road this season. The Twins have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Twins\' starter Lance Lynn is forecasted to have a better game than Royals\' starter Burch Smith. Lance Lynn has a 51% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Burch Smith has a 28% chance of a QS. If Lance Lynn has a quality start the Twins has a 86% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.4 and he has a 28% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Twins win 74%. In Burch Smith quality starts the Royals win 57%. He has a 13% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 57% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Minnesota Twins is Eddie Rosario who averaged 2.51 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Twins have a 81% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Kansas City Royals is Whit Merrifield who averaged 2.08 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Royals have a 40% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Minnesota Twins

Kansas City RoyalsRECORDMinnesota TwinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road15-30, 33% -545Record at Home25-21, 54% 146Minnesota Twins
VS Minnesota Twins3-2, 60% 207VS Kansas City Royals2-3, 40% -156Kansas City Royals
vs Team Under .50014-23, 38% -750vs Team Under .50022-19, 54% -303Minnesota Twins
Record As Road Underdog15-29, 34% -445Record As Home Favorite16-14, 53% -317Minnesota Twins
When Burch Smith Starts0-0 No GamesWhen Lance Lynn Starts7-10, 41% -270Kansas City Royals

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Kansas City Royals

Kansas City RoyalsRECORDMinnesota TwinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-7, 30% -115Record at Home8-4, 67% 269Minnesota Twins
VS Minnesota Twins1-1, 50% 58VS Kansas City Royals1-1, 50% -53Kansas City Royals
vs Team Under .5002-1, 67% 248vs Team Under .5007-5, 58% 1Kansas City Royals
Record As Road Underdog3-7, 30% -115Record As Home Favorite6-3, 67% 87Minnesota Twins
When Burch Smith Starts0-0 No GamesWhen Lance Lynn Starts2-3, 40% -93Kansas City Royals

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Kansas City RoyalsRECORDMinnesota TwinsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD18-25, 42% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME21-25, 46% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-6, 40% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-5, 58% OverN/A
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON44-33, 57% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON36-39, 48% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Burch Smith STARTS0-0 No GamesOVER-UNDER IN Lance Lynn STARTS10-7, 59% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 17-28, 38% -79 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 29-17, 63% +1361 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 4-6, 40% -35 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 9-3, 75% +571

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 29-16, 64% +9 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 24-22, 52% -371 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 7-3, 70% -4 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 8-4, 67% +183

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 18-23, 44% -730 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 20-25, 44% -750 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 6-3, 67% + 270 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 5-6, 45% -160

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