July 11, 2018 6:44 AM CDT

Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays 7/11/2018

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The Tampa Bay Rays are 25-17 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Detroit Tigers who are 15-31 on the road this season. The Rays have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Hunter Wood has a 49% chance of a QS and Jordan Zimmermann a 49% chance. If Hunter Wood has a quality start the Rays has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.6 and he has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rays win 65%. If Jordan Zimmermann has a quality start the Tigers has a 64% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.9 and he has a 44% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Tigers win 46%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Tampa Bay Rays is Wilson Ramos who averaged 2.23 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rays have a 71% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Nick Castellanos who averaged 2.19 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 59% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Rays

Detroit TigersRECORDTampa Bay RaysRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road15-31, 33% -1083Record at Home25-17, 60% 994Tampa Bay Rays
VS Tampa Bay Rays2-3, 40% -61VS Detroit Tigers3-2, 60% -11Tampa Bay Rays
vs Team .500 or Better13-28, 32% -790vs Team .500 or Better21-32, 40% -150Tampa Bay Rays
Record As Road Underdog15-30, 33% -983Record As Home Favorite12-6, 67% 323Tampa Bay Rays
When Jordan Zimmermann Starts6-4, 60% 375When Hunter Wood Starts0-0 No GamesDetroit Tigers

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Rays

Detroit TigersRECORDTampa Bay RaysRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-11, 31% -450Record at Home13-1, 93% 1462Tampa Bay Rays
VS Tampa Bay Rays0-2, 0% -200VS Detroit Tigers2-0, 100% 104Tampa Bay Rays
vs Team .500 or Better2-15, 12% -1303vs Team Under .5009-1, 90% 728Tampa Bay Rays
Record As Road Underdog5-11, 31% -450Record As Home Favorite5-0, 100% 376Tampa Bay Rays
When Jordan Zimmermann Starts2-1, 67% 155When Hunter Wood Starts0-0 No GamesDetroit Tigers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Detroit TigersRECORDTampa Bay RaysRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD16-29, 36% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME17-23, 42% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-9, 40% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-9, 31% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON37-40, 48% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON36-43, 46% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Jordan Zimmermann STARTS5-4, 56% OverOVER-UNDER IN Hunter Wood STARTS0-0 No GamesN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 25-21, 54% +577 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 19-23, 45% -113 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 7-9, 44% -185 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 5-9, 36% -120

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 35-11, 76% +1315 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 20-22, 48% -551 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 14-2, 88% +764 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 4-10, 29% -700

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 26-18, 59% + 620 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 13-17, 43% -570 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 8-6, 57% + 140 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 5-4, 56% + 60

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