July 11, 2018 6:44 AM CDT

Cincinnati Reds vs Cleveland Indians 7/11/2018

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The Cleveland Indians are 28-17 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Cincinnati Reds who are 20-25 on the road this season. The Indians have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Indians\' starter Carlos Carrasco is forecasted to have a better game than Reds\' starter Tyler Mahle. Carlos Carrasco has a 53% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Tyler Mahle has a 36% chance of a QS. If Carlos Carrasco has a quality start the Indians has a 77% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.9 and he has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Indians win 61%. In Tyler Mahle quality starts the Reds win 63%. He has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 63% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Cleveland Indians is Jose Ramirez who averaged 2.47 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Indians have a 69% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Cincinnati Reds is Joey Votto who averaged 2.4 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Reds have a 58% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cincinnati Reds

Cincinnati RedsRECORDCleveland IndiansRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road20-25, 44% 305Record at Home28-17, 62% -176Cincinnati Reds
VS Cleveland Indians2-0, 100% 368VS Cincinnati Reds0-2, 0% -200Cincinnati Reds
vs Team .500 or Better25-38, 40% -372vs Team Under .50034-19, 64% -181Cleveland Indians
Record As Road Underdog19-24, 44% 318Record As Home Favorite26-16, 62% -288Cincinnati Reds
When Tyler Mahle Starts10-8, 56% 344When Carlos Carrasco Starts9-7, 56% -140Cincinnati Reds

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cincinnati Reds

Cincinnati RedsRECORDCleveland IndiansRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road8-5, 62% 574Record at Home8-6, 57% -192Cincinnati Reds
VS Cleveland Indians2-0, 100% 368VS Cincinnati Reds0-2, 0% -200Cincinnati Reds
vs Team .500 or Better11-5, 69% 982vs Team .500 or Better2-6, 25% -462Cincinnati Reds
Record As Road Underdog7-5, 58% 487Record As Home Favorite8-6, 57% -192Cincinnati Reds
When Tyler Mahle Starts4-2, 67% 192When Carlos Carrasco Starts2-1, 67% 2Cincinnati Reds

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Cincinnati RedsRECORDCleveland IndiansRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD21-22, 49% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME31-13, 70% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-6, 50% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS10-4, 71% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON42-34, 55% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON33-49, 40% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Tyler Mahle STARTS5-11, 31% OverOVER-UNDER IN Carlos Carrasco STARTS8-8, 50% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 22-23, 49% +525 Cleveland Indians Home Games: 18-27, 40% -84 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 8-5, 62% +427 Cleveland Indians Home Games: 6-8, 43% +252

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 24-21, 53% -343 Cleveland Indians Home Games: 27-18, 60% -366 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 6-7, 46% -267 Cleveland Indians Home Games: 8-6, 57% -192

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 19-21, 48% -410 Cleveland Indians Home Games: 7-35, 17% -3150 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 6-5, 55% + 50 Cleveland Indians Home Games: 4-9, 31% -590

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