July 11, 2018 6:44 AM CDT

Chicago Cubs vs San Francisco Giants 7/11/2018

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The San Francisco Giants are 29-17 at home this season and the Chicago Cubs are 24-22 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Giants\' starter Johnny Cueto is forecasted to have a better game than Cubs\' starter Mike Montgomery. Johnny Cueto has a 49% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Mike Montgomery has a 37% chance of a QS. If Johnny Cueto has a quality start the Giants has a 68% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.2 and he has a 36% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Giants win 59%. In Mike Montgomery quality starts the Cubs win 64%. He has a 20% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 64% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the San Francisco Giants is Brandon Belt who averaged 2.25 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Giants have a 69% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Kris Bryant who averaged 2.06 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 63% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Francisco Giants

Chicago CubsRECORDSan Francisco GiantsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road24-22, 52% -82Record at Home29-17, 63% 841San Francisco Giants
VS San Francisco Giants3-2, 60% -3VS Chicago Cubs2-3, 40% -40Chicago Cubs
vs Team .500 or Better26-23, 53% -189vs Team .500 or Better36-34, 51% 852San Francisco Giants
Record as Road Favorite17-15, 53% -211Record as Home Underdog7-8, 47% 28San Francisco Giants
When Mike Montgomery Starts5-2, 71% 236When Johnny Cueto Starts4-3, 57% 166Chicago Cubs

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs

Chicago CubsRECORDSan Francisco GiantsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-10, 38% -338Record at Home10-6, 62% 139San Francisco Giants
VS San Francisco Giants1-1, 50% -9VS Chicago Cubs1-1, 50% -13Chicago Cubs
vs Team .500 or Better8-11, 42% -310vs Team .500 or Better10-11, 48% -149San Francisco Giants
Record as Road Favorite4-6, 40% -244Record as Home Underdog0-3, 0% -300Chicago Cubs
When Mike Montgomery Starts2-2, 50% -36When Johnny Cueto Starts0-2, 0% -200Chicago Cubs

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Chicago CubsRECORDSan Francisco GiantsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD19-25, 43% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME24-19, 56% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS9-7, 56% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-8, 47% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON33-45, 42% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON33-44, 43% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Mike Montgomery STARTS2-5, 29% OverOVER-UNDER IN Johnny Cueto STARTS3-4, 43% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 23-23, 50% -20 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 24-22, 52% +24 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 10-6, 62% +291 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 9-7, 56% -21

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 27-19, 59% +517 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 25-21, 54% -52 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 9-7, 56% +160 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 10-6, 62% +139

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 20-23, 47% -530 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 22-16, 58% + 440 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 7-9, 44% -290 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 8-5, 62% + 250

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