July 11, 2018 6:44 AM CDT

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies 7/11/2018

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The Colorado Rockies are 18-23 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Arizona Diamondbacks who are 25-18 on the road this season. The Rockies have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Rockies\' starter German Marquez is forecasted to have a better game than Diamondbacks\' starter Shelby Miller. German Marquez has a 30% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Shelby Miller has a 17% chance of a QS. If German Marquez has a quality start the Rockies has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3 and he has a 21% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rockies win 65%. In Shelby Miller quality starts the Diamondbacks win 59%. He has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 59% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Colorado Rockies is Nolan Arenado who averaged 3.04 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 55% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rockies have a 69% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Arizona Diamondbacks is Paul Goldschmidt who averaged 2.72 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 50% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Diamondbacks have a 50% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Arizona Diamondbacks

Arizona DiamondbacksRECORDColorado RockiesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road25-18, 58% 775Record at Home18-23, 44% -901Arizona Diamondbacks
VS Colorado Rockies6-1, 86% 480VS Arizona Diamondbacks1-6, 14% -467Arizona Diamondbacks
vs Team .500 or Better31-30, 51% 321vs Team .500 or Better24-30, 44% -52Arizona Diamondbacks
Record As Road Underdog17-13, 57% 646Record As Home Favorite15-18, 45% -740Arizona Diamondbacks
When Shelby Miller Starts0-3, 0% -300When German Marquez Starts9-9, 50% 111Colorado Rockies

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Arizona Diamondbacks

Arizona DiamondbacksRECORDColorado RockiesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road9-2, 82% 572Record at Home7-4, 64% 155Arizona Diamondbacks
VS Colorado Rockies1-0, 100% 100VS Arizona Diamondbacks0-1, 0% -100Arizona Diamondbacks
vs Team .500 or Better4-4, 50% -93vs Team Under .5003-1, 75% 136Colorado Rockies
Record As Road Underdog3-1, 75% 201Record As Home Favorite5-3, 62% 44Arizona Diamondbacks
When Shelby Miller Starts0-3, 0% -300When German Marquez Starts3-2, 60% 149Colorado Rockies

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Arizona DiamondbacksRECORDColorado RockiesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD23-19, 55% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME18-22, 45% OverN/A
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-6, 45% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-6, 45% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON33-46, 42% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON33-46, 42% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Shelby Miller STARTS2-1, 67% OverOVER-UNDER IN German Marquez STARTS8-9, 47% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 18-25, 42% -678 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 13-28, 32% -1618 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 1-10, 9% -789 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 3-8, 27% -564

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 17-26, 40% -1271 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 15-26, 37% -1525 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 2-9, 18% -773 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 5-6, 45% -241

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 20-20, 50% -200 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 21-18, 54% + 120 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 6-4, 60% + 160 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 6-5, 55% + 50

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