June 13, 2018 3:05 AM CDT

Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays 6/13/2018

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The Toronto Blue Jays are 14-17 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Tampa Bay Rays who are 13-16 at home. The Blue Jays have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Blue Jays\' starter J.A. Happ is forecasted to have a better game than Rays\' starter Wilmer Font. J.A. Happ has a 51% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Wilmer Font has a 28% chance of a QS. If J.A. Happ has a quality start the Blue Jays has a 84% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.3 and he has a 44% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Blue Jays win 66%. In Wilmer Font quality starts the Rays win 65%. He has a 28% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 65% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Tampa Bay Rays is Denard Span who averaged 1.99 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 31% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rays have a 54% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is Josh Donaldson who averaged 2.45 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 74% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Blue Jays

Toronto Blue JaysRECORDTampa Bay RaysRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road14-17, 45% -148Record at Home13-16, 45% -376Toronto Blue Jays
VS Tampa Bay Rays1-3, 25% -176VS Toronto Blue Jays3-1, 75% 229Tampa Bay Rays
vs Team Under .50019-12, 61% 264vs Team Under .50019-9, 68% 873Tampa Bay Rays
Record as Road Favorite5-4, 56% 14Record as Home Underdog5-10, 33% -415Toronto Blue Jays
When J.A. Happ Starts9-4, 69% 280When Wilmer Font Starts0-1, 0% -100Toronto Blue Jays

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Rays

Toronto Blue JaysRECORDTampa Bay RaysRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road4-8, 33% -429Record at Home5-6, 45% -150Tampa Bay Rays
VS Tampa Bay Rays0-1, 0% -100VS Toronto Blue Jays1-0, 100% 92Tampa Bay Rays
vs Team .500 or Better1-12, 8% -1128vs Team Under .5009-2, 82% 808Tampa Bay Rays
Record as Road Favorite2-1, 67% 54Record as Home Underdog2-5, 29% -283Toronto Blue Jays
When J.A. Happ Starts4-1, 80% 234When Wilmer Font Starts0-1, 0% -100Toronto Blue Jays

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Toronto Blue JaysRECORDTampa Bay RaysRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD19-10, 66% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME14-14, 50% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS10-2, 83% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-5, 55% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON39-38, 51% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON36-43, 46% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN J.A. Happ STARTS6-4, 60% OverOVER-UNDER IN Wilmer Font STARTS0-1, 0% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 13-18, 42% -654 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 14-15, 48% -93 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 2-10, 17% -946 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 3-8, 27% -508

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 15-16, 48% -489 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 16-13, 55% +49 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 6-6, 50% -254 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 6-5, 55% -27

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 11-14, 44% -440 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 8-14, 36% -740 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 2-8, 20% -680 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 2-5, 29% -350

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