June 13, 2018 3:05 AM CDT

San Francisco Giants vs Miami Marlins 6/13/2018

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The Miami Marlins are 12-20 at home this season and the San Francisco Giants are 14-22 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Caleb Smith has a 43% chance of a QS and Andrew Suarez a 42% chance. If Caleb Smith has a quality start the Marlins has a 64% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.9 and he has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Marlins win 47%. If Andrew Suarez has a quality start the Giants has a 65% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.3 and he has a 55% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Giants win 57%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Justin Bour who averaged 1.99 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 31% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 63% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the San Francisco Giants is Brandon Belt who averaged 2.3 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Giants have a 70% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Marlins

San Francisco GiantsRECORDMiami MarlinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road14-22, 39% -127Record at Home12-20, 38% -458San Francisco Giants
VS Miami Marlins0-1, 0% -100VS San Francisco Giants1-0, 100% 148Miami Marlins
vs Team Under .5009-12, 43% -352vs Team .500 or Better15-29, 34% -243Miami Marlins
Record as Road Favorite1-2, 33% -122Record as Home Underdog10-19, 34% -522San Francisco Giants
When Andrew Suarez Starts3-6, 33% -206When Caleb Smith Starts8-7, 53% 211Miami Marlins

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Marlins

San Francisco GiantsRECORDMiami MarlinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road4-8, 33% -49Record at Home4-6, 40% -78San Francisco Giants
VS Miami Marlins0-1, 0% -100VS San Francisco Giants1-0, 100% 148Miami Marlins
vs Team Under .50010-7, 59% 229vs Team .500 or Better8-12, 40% -67San Francisco Giants
Record as Road Favorite0-1, 0% -100Record as Home Underdog3-5, 38% -50Miami Marlins
When Andrew Suarez Starts2-3, 40% -30When Caleb Smith Starts4-2, 67% 203Miami Marlins

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

San Francisco GiantsRECORDMiami MarlinsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD19-16, 54% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME14-17, 45% OverN/A
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS9-2, 82% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-5, 44% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON42-33, 56% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON41-36, 53% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Andrew Suarez STARTS5-3, 62% OverOVER-UNDER IN Caleb Smith STARTS6-9, 40% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 17-19, 47% +152 Miami Marlins Home Games: 15-17, 47% -378 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 7-5, 58% +434 Miami Marlins Home Games: 3-7, 30% -342

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 23-13, 64% +360 Miami Marlins Home Games: 19-13, 59% -67 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 7-5, 58% -99 Miami Marlins Home Games: 5-5, 50% -210

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 14-21, 40% -910 Miami Marlins Home Games: 15-15, 50% -150 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 2-9, 18% -790 Miami Marlins Home Games: 5-4, 56% + 60

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