June 13, 2018 3:05 AM CDT

San Diego Padres vs St. Louis Cardinals 6/13/2018

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The St. Louis Cardinals are 20-14 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the San Diego Padres who are 13-16 on the road this season. The Cardinals have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Cardinals\' starter Luke Weaver is forecasted to have a better game than Padres\' starter Eric Lauer. Luke Weaver has a 43% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Eric Lauer has a 25% chance of a QS. If Luke Weaver has a quality start the Cardinals has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.1 and he has a 35% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cardinals win 64%. In Eric Lauer quality starts the Padres win 59%. He has a 18% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 59% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Jose Martinez who averaged 2.45 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 44% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 67% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Eric Hosmer who averaged 2.13 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 56% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals

San Diego PadresRECORDSt. Louis CardinalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road13-16, 45% 194Record at Home20-14, 59% -19San Diego Padres
VS St. Louis Cardinals2-3, 40% -76VS San Diego Padres3-2, 60% -2St. Louis Cardinals
vs Team .500 or Better15-24, 38% -542vs Team Under .50025-18, 58% -95St. Louis Cardinals
Record As Road Underdog12-16, 43% 106Record As Home Favorite17-14, 55% -318San Diego Padres
When Eric Lauer Starts2-6, 25% -449When Luke Weaver Starts6-7, 46% -259St. Louis Cardinals

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals

San Diego PadresRECORDSt. Louis CardinalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road7-7, 50% 169Record at Home8-7, 53% -152San Diego Padres
VS St. Louis Cardinals0-1, 0% -100VS San Diego Padres1-0, 100% 58St. Louis Cardinals
vs Team .500 or Better4-6, 40% -79vs Team .500 or Better2-2, 50% -48St. Louis Cardinals
Record As Road Underdog6-7, 46% 81Record As Home Favorite7-7, 50% -256San Diego Padres
When Eric Lauer Starts1-4, 20% -309When Luke Weaver Starts2-3, 40% -164St. Louis Cardinals

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

San Diego PadresRECORDSt. Louis CardinalsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD10-18, 36% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME11-20, 35% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-8, 38% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-10, 33% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON41-39, 51% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON40-37, 52% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Eric Lauer STARTS5-3, 62% OverOVER-UNDER IN Luke Weaver STARTS6-7, 46% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 10-19, 34% -682 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 20-14, 59% +952 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 3-11, 21% -825 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 8-7, 53% +455

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 16-13, 55% -337 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 18-16, 53% -310 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 7-7, 50% -285 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 6-9, 40% -443

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 16-12, 57% + 280 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 18-13, 58% + 370 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 8-5, 62% + 250 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 10-5, 67% + 450

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