June 13, 2018 3:05 AM CDT

New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves 6/13/2018

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The Atlanta Braves are 16-12 at home this season and the New York Mets are 15-13 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Mike Soroka has a 36% chance of a QS and Jacob deGrom a 41% chance. If Mike Soroka has a quality start the Braves has a 69% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.4 and he has a 38% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Braves win 54%. If Jacob deGrom has a quality start the Mets has a 61% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.8 and he has a 43% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mets win 52%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Freddie Freeman who averaged 2.37 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 62% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is Yoenis Cespedes who averaged 2.22 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 66% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Atlanta Braves

New York MetsRECORDAtlanta BravesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road15-13, 54% 262Record at Home16-12, 57% 470Atlanta Braves
VS Atlanta Braves3-7, 30% -404VS New York Mets7-3, 70% 571Atlanta Braves
vs Team .500 or Better20-23, 47% -190vs Team Under .50019-10, 66% 952Atlanta Braves
Record as Road Favorite7-6, 54% -104Record as Home Underdog9-5, 64% 626Atlanta Braves
When Jacob deGrom Starts5-8, 38% -407When Mike Soroka Starts1-1, 50% -20Atlanta Braves

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Atlanta Braves

New York MetsRECORDAtlanta BravesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-5, 38% -143Record at Home8-5, 62% 251Atlanta Braves
VS Atlanta Braves2-2, 50% 22VS New York Mets2-2, 50% 2New York Mets
vs Team .500 or Better4-11, 27% -543vs Team Under .5005-5, 50% -98Atlanta Braves
Record as Road Favorite0-2, 0% -200Record as Home Underdog4-2, 67% 275Atlanta Braves
When Jacob deGrom Starts1-4, 20% -338When Mike Soroka Starts0-0 No GamesAtlanta Braves

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

New York MetsRECORDAtlanta BravesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD14-12, 54% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME13-13, 50% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-4, 50% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-9, 31% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON50-27, 65% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON35-43, 45% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Jacob deGrom STARTS5-8, 38% OverOVER-UNDER IN Mike Soroka STARTS1-1, 50% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 16-12, 57% +513 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 15-13, 54% +357 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 3-5, 38% -30 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 7-6, 54% +77

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 13-15, 46% -486 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 13-15, 46% -318 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 2-6, 25% -463 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 7-6, 54% -21

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 15-11, 58% + 290 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 18-8, 69% + 920 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 5-3, 62% + 170 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 10-3, 77% + 670

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