June 13, 2018 3:05 AM CDT

Cincinnati Reds vs Kansas City Royals 6/13/2018

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The Kansas City Royals are 10-21 at home this season and the Cincinnati Reds are 12-20 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Jason Hammel has a 42% chance of a QS and Tyler Mahle a 41% chance. If Jason Hammel has a quality start the Royals has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.6 and he has a 20% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Royals win 54%. If Tyler Mahle has a quality start the Reds has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.7 and he has a 34% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Reds win 57%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Kansas City Royals is Jorge Soler who averaged 2.13 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Royals have a 63% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Cincinnati Reds is Joey Votto who averaged 2.66 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 48% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Reds have a 63% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cincinnati Reds

Cincinnati RedsRECORDKansas City RoyalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road12-20, 38% -269Record at Home10-21, 32% -1056Cincinnati Reds
VS Kansas City Royals0-0 No GamesVS Cincinnati Reds0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .50011-14, 44% -231vs Team Under .50013-20, 39% -608Cincinnati Reds
Record as Road Favorite0-1, 0% -100Record as Home Underdog5-11, 31% -465Cincinnati Reds
When Tyler Mahle Starts6-6, 50% 152When Jason Hammel Starts4-9, 31% -211Cincinnati Reds

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE

Cincinnati RedsRECORDKansas City RoyalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road4-8, 33% -227Record at Home4-8, 33% -261Cincinnati Reds
VS Kansas City Royals0-0 No GamesVS Cincinnati Reds0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5005-7, 42% -82vs Team Under .5004-6, 40% -95Cincinnati Reds
Record as Road Favorite0-0 No GamesRecord as Home Underdog4-4, 50% 139Kansas City Royals
When Tyler Mahle Starts2-2, 50% -7When Jason Hammel Starts3-2, 60% 277Kansas City Royals

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Cincinnati RedsRECORDKansas City RoyalsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD15-16, 48% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME12-15, 44% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-4, 64% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-5, 55% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON42-34, 55% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON36-45, 44% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Tyler Mahle STARTS4-7, 36% OverOVER-UNDER IN Jason Hammel STARTS2-9, 18% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 14-18, 44% +98 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 14-17, 45% -163 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 3-9, 25% -383 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 4-8, 33% -261

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 18-14, 56% -76 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 18-13, 58% +283 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 5-7, 42% -348 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 5-7, 42% -207

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 13-16, 45% -460 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 13-13, 50% -130 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 4-7, 36% -370 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 5-6, 45% -160

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