June 13, 2018 3:05 AM CDT

Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers 6/13/2018

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The Chicago Cubs are 19-12 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Milwaukee Brewers who are 18-12 at home. The Cubs have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Jhoulys Chacin has a 35% chance of a QS and Mike Montgomery a 34% chance. If Jhoulys Chacin has a quality start the Brewers has a 62% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.3 and he has a 14% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Brewers win 49%. If Mike Montgomery has a quality start the Cubs has a 71% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.7 and he has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 60%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is Christian Yelich who averaged 2.2 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 57% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Kris Bryant who averaged 2.5 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 69% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers

Chicago CubsRECORDMilwaukee BrewersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road19-12, 61% 343Record at Home18-12, 60% 377Milwaukee Brewers
VS Milwaukee Brewers8-1, 89% 456VS Chicago Cubs1-8, 11% -700Chicago Cubs
vs Team .500 or Better16-13, 55% -165vs Team .500 or Better14-17, 45% -139Milwaukee Brewers
Record as Road Favorite14-9, 61% 120Record as Home Underdog7-7, 50% 119Chicago Cubs
When Mike Montgomery Starts3-0, 100% 272When Jhoulys Chacin Starts10-3, 77% 578Milwaukee Brewers

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs

Chicago CubsRECORDMilwaukee BrewersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road11-3, 79% 612Record at Home8-3, 73% 442Chicago Cubs
VS Milwaukee Brewers1-0, 100% 87VS Chicago Cubs0-1, 0% -100Chicago Cubs
vs Team .500 or Better4-5, 44% -228vs Team .500 or Better2-4, 33% -188Milwaukee Brewers
Record as Road Favorite8-3, 73% 290Record as Home Underdog4-2, 67% 241Chicago Cubs
When Mike Montgomery Starts3-0, 100% 272When Jhoulys Chacin Starts4-1, 80% 243Chicago Cubs

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Chicago CubsRECORDMilwaukee BrewersRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD11-18, 38% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME10-17, 37% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-8, 38% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-6, 45% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON33-45, 42% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON36-39, 48% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Mike Montgomery STARTS1-2, 33% OverOVER-UNDER IN Jhoulys Chacin STARTS5-8, 38% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 14-17, 45% -311 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 17-13, 57% +375 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 7-7, 50% -33 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 8-3, 73% +524

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 19-12, 61% +444 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 16-14, 53% -95 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 12-2, 86% +828 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 7-4, 64% +235

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 13-15, 46% -350 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 13-12, 52% -20 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 9-3, 75% + 570 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 6-5, 55% + 50

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