June 13, 2018 3:05 AM CDT

Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles 6/13/2018

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The Boston Red Sox are 22-11 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Baltimore Orioles who are 10-19 at home. The Red Sox have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Red Sox\' starter Chris Sale is forecasted to have a better game than Orioles\' starter BAL Pitcher. Chris Sale has a 58% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while BAL Pitcher has a 35% chance of a QS. If Chris Sale has a quality start the Red Sox has a 77% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.6 and he has a 42% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Red Sox win 64%. In BAL Pitcher quality starts the Orioles win 67%. He has a 19% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 67% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Manny Machado who averaged 1.99 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 32% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 56% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Boston Red Sox is Mookie Betts who averaged 2.8 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 50% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Red Sox have a 74% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Boston Red Sox

Boston Red SoxRECORDBaltimore OriolesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road22-11, 67% 760Record at Home10-19, 34% -973Boston Red Sox
VS Baltimore Orioles7-1, 88% 325VS Boston Red Sox1-7, 12% -547Boston Red Sox
vs Team Under .50033-12, 73% 762vs Team .500 or Better5-26, 16% -1786Boston Red Sox
Record as Road Favorite17-7, 71% 479Record as Home Underdog3-11, 21% -773Boston Red Sox
When Chris Sale Starts7-7, 50% -353When BAL Pitcher Starts0-0 No GamesBaltimore Orioles

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Boston Red Sox

Boston Red SoxRECORDBaltimore OriolesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-3, 62% 213Record at Home0-7, 0% -700Boston Red Sox
VS Baltimore Orioles4-1, 80% 158VS Boston Red Sox1-4, 20% -247Boston Red Sox
vs Team Under .5008-3, 73% 167vs Team .500 or Better2-11, 15% -822Boston Red Sox
Record as Road Favorite3-1, 75% 113Record as Home Underdog0-6, 0% -600Boston Red Sox
When Chris Sale Starts2-3, 40% -215When BAL Pitcher Starts0-0 No GamesBaltimore Orioles

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Boston Red SoxRECORDBaltimore OriolesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD14-18, 44% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME10-17, 37% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-4, 50% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS1-6, 14% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON38-41, 48% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON44-36, 55% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Chris Sale STARTS7-7, 50% OverOVER-UNDER IN BAL Pitcher STARTS0-0 No GamesN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 15-18, 45% -534 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 11-18, 38% -681 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 2-6, 25% -300 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 1-6, 14% -524

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 17-16, 52% -448 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 17-12, 59% +132 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 2-6, 25% -503 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 4-3, 57% -57

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 15-11, 58% + 290 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 11-15, 42% -550 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 2-3, 40% -130 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 5-1, 83% + 390

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