May 16, 2018 9:16 AM CDT

Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Mets 5/16/2018

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The New York Mets are 8-10 at home this season and the Toronto Blue Jays are 10-10 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Mets\' starter Zack Wheeler is forecasted to have a better game than Blue Jays\' starter J.A. Happ. Zack Wheeler has a 51% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while J.A. Happ has a 45% chance of a QS. If Zack Wheeler has a quality start the Mets has a 66% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.4 and he has a 33% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mets win 57%. In J.A. Happ quality starts the Blue Jays win 59%. He has a 39% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 59% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is Asdrubal Cabrera who averaged 2.01 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 33% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 64% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is Curtis Granderson who averaged 1.97 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 31% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 64% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Mets

Toronto Blue JaysRECORDNew York MetsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road10-10, 50% 181Record at Home8-10, 44% -399Toronto Blue Jays
VS New York Mets0-1, 0% -100VS Toronto Blue Jays1-0, 100% 58New York Mets
vs Team .500 or Better6-12, 33% -454vs Team .500 or Better14-15, 48% -116New York Mets
Record as Road Favorite3-3, 50% -40Record as Home Underdog0-2, 0% -200Toronto Blue Jays
When J.A. Happ Starts5-3, 62% 46When Zack Wheeler Starts3-2, 60% 110New York Mets

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Mets

Toronto Blue JaysRECORDNew York MetsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-8, 38% -93Record at Home2-8, 20% -650Toronto Blue Jays
VS New York Mets0-1, 0% -100VS Toronto Blue Jays1-0, 100% 58New York Mets
vs Team Under .5007-5, 58% 114vs Team Under .5004-3, 57% 3Toronto Blue Jays
Record as Road Favorite0-2, 0% -200Record as Home Underdog0-1, 0% -100New York Mets
When J.A. Happ Starts3-2, 60% -5When Zack Wheeler Starts2-2, 50% 37New York Mets

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Toronto Blue JaysRECORDNew York MetsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD10-8, 56% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME8-10, 44% OverN/A
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-5, 58% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-5, 50% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON39-38, 51% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON40-32, 56% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN J.A. Happ STARTS3-2, 60% OverOVER-UNDER IN Zack Wheeler STARTS2-3, 40% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 11-9, 55% +192 New York Mets Home Games: 9-9, 50% +135 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 8-5, 62% +475 New York Mets Home Games: 6-4, 60% +398

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 10-10, 50% -177 New York Mets Home Games: 10-8, 56% +31 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 7-6, 54% -49 New York Mets Home Games: 4-6, 40% -220

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 9-6, 60% + 240 New York Mets Home Games: 8-9, 47% -190 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 7-4, 64% + 260 New York Mets Home Games: 5-4, 56% + 60

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