May 16, 2018 9:16 AM CDT

Tampa Bay Rays vs Kansas City Royals 5/16/2018

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The Kansas City Royals are 6-15 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Tampa Bay Rays who are 10-12 on the road this season. The Royals have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Royals\' starter Jason Hammel is forecasted to have a better game than Rays\' starter Jacob Faria. Jason Hammel has a 48% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Jacob Faria has a 39% chance of a QS. If Jason Hammel has a quality start the Royals has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.3 and he has a 30% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Royals win 65%. In Jacob Faria quality starts the Rays win 67%. He has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 67% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Kansas City Royals is Jorge Soler who averaged 2.36 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Royals have a 69% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Tampa Bay Rays is Denard Span who averaged 2.09 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rays have a 59% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Rays

Tampa Bay RaysRECORDKansas City RoyalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road10-12, 45% -93Record at Home6-15, 29% -995Tampa Bay Rays
VS Kansas City Royals2-0, 100% 223VS Tampa Bay Rays0-2, 0% -200Tampa Bay Rays
vs Team Under .50013-7, 65% 480vs Team Under .50011-17, 39% -403Tampa Bay Rays
Record As Road Underdog6-8, 43% -28Record As Home Favorite5-8, 38% -391Tampa Bay Rays
When Jacob Faria Starts4-4, 50% -28When Jason Hammel Starts1-7, 12% -488Tampa Bay Rays

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Rays

Tampa Bay RaysRECORDKansas City RoyalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road8-6, 57% 345Record at Home5-8, 38% -391Tampa Bay Rays
VS Kansas City Royals2-0, 100% 223VS Tampa Bay Rays0-2, 0% -200Tampa Bay Rays
vs Team Under .50012-5, 71% 670vs Team .500 or Better6-9, 40% -174Tampa Bay Rays
Record As Road Underdog6-3, 67% 472Record As Home Favorite5-6, 45% -191Tampa Bay Rays
When Jacob Faria Starts4-1, 80% 272When Jason Hammel Starts1-4, 20% -188Tampa Bay Rays

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Tampa Bay RaysRECORDKansas City RoyalsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD13-8, 62% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME7-11, 39% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-6, 54% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-8, 33% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON41-37, 53% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON36-45, 44% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Jacob Faria STARTS3-5, 38% OverOVER-UNDER IN Jason Hammel STARTS2-5, 29% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 13-9, 59% +566 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 10-11, 48% -102 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 9-5, 64% +370 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 6-7, 46% -94

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 11-11, 50% -251 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 13-8, 62% +290 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 7-7, 50% -66 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 6-7, 46% -210

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 11-9, 55% + 110 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 9-8, 53% + 20 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 6-7, 46% -170 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 7-5, 58% + 150

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