May 16, 2018 9:16 AM CDT

St. Louis Cardinals vs Minnesota Twins 5/16/2018

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The St. Louis Cardinals are 10-10 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Minnesota Twins who are 8-7 at home. The Cardinals have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Cardinals\' starter Miles Mikolas is forecasted to have a better game than Twins\' starter Lance Lynn. Miles Mikolas has a 56% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Lance Lynn has a 34% chance of a QS. If Miles Mikolas has a quality start the Cardinals has a 78% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.8 and he has a 52% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cardinals win 64%. In Lance Lynn quality starts the Twins win 63%. He has a 13% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 63% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Minnesota Twins is Eddie Rosario who averaged 1.8 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 30% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Twins have a 57% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Tommy Pham who averaged 2.57 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 46% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 68% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Minnesota Twins

St. Louis CardinalsRECORDMinnesota TwinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road10-10, 50% -192Record at Home8-7, 53% 109Minnesota Twins
VS Minnesota Twins0-3, 0% -300VS St. Louis Cardinals3-0, 100% 376Minnesota Twins
vs Team Under .50011-5, 69% 164vs Team .500 or Better10-11, 48% 136St. Louis Cardinals
Record as Road Favorite8-5, 62% 84Record as Home Underdog4-2, 67% 304Minnesota Twins
When Miles Mikolas Starts5-2, 71% 211When Lance Lynn Starts2-5, 29% -272St. Louis Cardinals

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Minnesota Twins

St. Louis CardinalsRECORDMinnesota TwinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-7, 30% -442Record at Home4-5, 44% -142Minnesota Twins
VS Minnesota Twins0-3, 0% -300VS St. Louis Cardinals3-0, 100% 376Minnesota Twins
vs Team Under .5009-6, 60% -41vs Team .500 or Better3-7, 30% -324St. Louis Cardinals
Record as Road Favorite2-5, 29% -360Record as Home Underdog1-1, 50% 11Minnesota Twins
When Miles Mikolas Starts3-1, 75% 131When Lance Lynn Starts2-3, 40% -72St. Louis Cardinals

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

St. Louis CardinalsRECORDMinnesota TwinsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD8-10, 44% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME6-9, 40% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-5, 44% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-5, 44% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON42-36, 54% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON36-39, 48% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Miles Mikolas STARTS4-3, 57% OverOVER-UNDER IN Lance Lynn STARTS6-1, 86% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 8-12, 40% -671 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 9-6, 60% +377 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 6-4, 60% +23 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 5-4, 56% +91

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 13-7, 65% +383 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 8-7, 53% -37 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 6-4, 60% +163 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 6-3, 67% +244

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 10-7, 59% + 230 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 5-10, 33% -600 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 7-2, 78% + 480 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 3-6, 33% -360

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