May 16, 2018 9:16 AM CDT

Philadelphia Phillies vs Baltimore Orioles 5/16/2018

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The Baltimore Orioles are 10-12 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Philadelphia Phillies who are 7-10 on the road this season. The Orioles have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Orioles\' starter Andrew Cashner is forecasted to have a better game than Phillies\' starter Nick Pivetta. Andrew Cashner has a 40% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Nick Pivetta has a 35% chance of a QS. If Andrew Cashner has a quality start the Orioles has a 78% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.8 and he has a 17% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Orioles win 58%. In Nick Pivetta quality starts the Phillies win 68%. He has a 45% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 68% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Manny Machado who averaged 2.48 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 44% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 67% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Odubel Herrera who averaged 2.75 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 49% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 57% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Philadelphia Phillies

Philadelphia PhilliesRECORDBaltimore OriolesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road7-10, 41% -286Record at Home10-12, 45% -273Baltimore Orioles
VS Baltimore Orioles0-0 No GamesVS Philadelphia Phillies0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5009-3, 75% 434vs Team .500 or Better4-15, 21% -857Philadelphia Phillies
Record as Road Favorite3-2, 60% 51Record as Home Underdog3-5, 38% -173Philadelphia Phillies
When Nick Pivetta Starts6-2, 75% 318When Andrew Cashner Starts2-6, 25% -306Philadelphia Phillies

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Philadelphia Phillies

Philadelphia PhilliesRECORDBaltimore OriolesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-6, 33% -319Record at Home8-8, 50% -53Baltimore Orioles
VS Baltimore Orioles0-0 No GamesVS Philadelphia Phillies0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5002-3, 40% -151vs Team .500 or Better5-10, 33% -543Philadelphia Phillies
Record as Road Favorite2-2, 50% -43Record as Home Underdog3-4, 43% -73Philadelphia Phillies
When Nick Pivetta Starts3-2, 60% 53When Andrew Cashner Starts1-4, 20% -319Philadelphia Phillies

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Philadelphia PhilliesRECORDBaltimore OriolesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD8-8, 50% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME9-11, 45% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-5, 44% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS9-6, 60% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON39-37, 51% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON44-36, 55% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Nick Pivetta STARTS2-5, 29% OverOVER-UNDER IN Andrew Cashner STARTS3-5, 38% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 8-9, 47% -232 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 10-12, 45% -157 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 2-7, 22% -499 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 8-8, 50% +49

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 11-6, 65% +355 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 13-9, 59% +189 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 5-4, 56% -6 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 11-5, 69% +395

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 7-9, 44% -290 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 6-14, 30% -940 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 4-5, 44% -150 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 5-10, 33% -600

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