May 16, 2018 9:16 AM CDT

Oakland Athletics vs Boston Red Sox 5/16/2018

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The Boston Red Sox are 11-6 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Oakland Athletics who are 10-12 on the road this season. The Red Sox have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Red Sox\' starter Chris Sale is forecasted to have a better game than Athletics\' starter Trevor Cahill. Chris Sale has a 64% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Trevor Cahill has a 46% chance of a QS. If Chris Sale has a quality start the Red Sox has a 76% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.8 and he has a 45% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Red Sox win 66%. In Trevor Cahill quality starts the Athletics win 60%. He has a 35% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 60% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Boston Red Sox is Mookie Betts who averaged 2.31 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Red Sox have a 75% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Oakland Athletics is Jed Lowrie who averaged 1.63 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 23% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Athletics have a 57% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Oakland Athletics

Oakland AthleticsRECORDBoston Red SoxRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road10-12, 45% 125Record at Home11-6, 65% 45Oakland Athletics
VS Boston Red Sox4-1, 80% 475VS Oakland Athletics1-4, 20% -320Oakland Athletics
vs Team .500 or Better10-17, 37% -322vs Team .500 or Better11-9, 55% 106Boston Red Sox
Record As Road Underdog7-10, 41% 68Record As Home Favorite11-6, 65% 45Oakland Athletics
When Trevor Cahill Starts3-1, 75% 107When Chris Sale Starts5-4, 56% -138Oakland Athletics

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Oakland Athletics

Oakland AthleticsRECORDBoston Red SoxRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road7-7, 50% 257Record at Home3-5, 38% -359Oakland Athletics
VS Boston Red Sox4-1, 80% 475VS Oakland Athletics1-4, 20% -320Oakland Athletics
vs Team .500 or Better7-10, 41% 59vs Team .500 or Better3-8, 27% -557Oakland Athletics
Record As Road Underdog5-6, 45% 187Record As Home Favorite3-5, 38% -359Oakland Athletics
When Trevor Cahill Starts3-1, 75% 107When Chris Sale Starts2-3, 40% -205Oakland Athletics

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Oakland AthleticsRECORDBoston Red SoxRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD13-9, 59% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME9-6, 60% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS8-6, 57% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-4, 50% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON39-41, 49% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON30-48, 38% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Trevor Cahill STARTS3-1, 75% OverOVER-UNDER IN Chris Sale STARTS4-5, 44% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Oakland Athletics Road Games: 9-13, 41% -354 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 11-6, 65% +593 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Oakland Athletics Road Games: 6-8, 43% -115 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 4-4, 50% +337

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Oakland Athletics Road Games: 12-10, 55% -130 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 11-6, 65% +45 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Oakland Athletics Road Games: 8-6, 57% -50 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 3-5, 38% -359

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Oakland Athletics Road Games: 10-12, 45% -320 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 7-6, 54% + 40 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Oakland Athletics Road Games: 5-9, 36% -490 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 4-4, 50% -40

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