May 16, 2018 9:16 AM CDT

Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks 5/16/2018

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The Arizona Diamondbacks are 14-11 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Milwaukee Brewers who are 15-9 on the road this season. The Diamondbacks have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Diamondbacks\' starter Matt Koch is forecasted to have a better game than Brewers\' starter Brandon Woodruff. Matt Koch has a 44% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Brandon Woodruff has a 28% chance of a QS. If Matt Koch has a quality start the Diamondbacks has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.4 and he has a 29% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Diamondbacks win 64%. In Brandon Woodruff quality starts the Brewers win 57%. He has a 33% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 57% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Arizona Diamondbacks is Paul Goldschmidt who averaged 2.24 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Diamondbacks have a 68% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is Jesus Aguilar who averaged 2.06 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 33% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 62% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Arizona Diamondbacks

Milwaukee BrewersRECORDArizona DiamondbacksRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road15-9, 62% 693Record at Home14-11, 56% 284Milwaukee Brewers
VS Arizona Diamondbacks1-1, 50% 35VS Milwaukee Brewers1-1, 50% -43Milwaukee Brewers
vs Team .500 or Better10-16, 38% -387vs Team .500 or Better15-12, 56% 274Arizona Diamondbacks
Record as Road Favorite7-0, 100% 558Record as Home Underdog7-3, 70% 610Arizona Diamondbacks
When Brandon Woodruff Starts2-0, 100% 237When Matt Koch Starts3-2, 60% 261Arizona Diamondbacks

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee BrewersRECORDArizona DiamondbacksRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road9-6, 60% 391Record at Home9-10, 47% -134Milwaukee Brewers
VS Arizona Diamondbacks1-1, 50% 35VS Milwaukee Brewers1-1, 50% -43Milwaukee Brewers
vs Team .500 or Better5-8, 38% -145vs Team .500 or Better9-9, 50% -13Arizona Diamondbacks
Record as Road Favorite4-0, 100% 330Record as Home Underdog3-3, 50% 157Milwaukee Brewers
When Brandon Woodruff Starts1-0, 100% 137When Matt Koch Starts3-2, 60% 261Arizona Diamondbacks

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Milwaukee BrewersRECORDArizona DiamondbacksRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD9-15, 38% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME7-16, 30% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-11, 27% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-14, 22% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON32-43, 43% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON43-33, 57% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Brandon Woodruff STARTS1-0, 100% OverOVER-UNDER IN Matt Koch STARTS1-4, 20% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 8-16, 33% -1052 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 15-10, 60% +820 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 4-11, 27% -819 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 10-9, 53% +334

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 15-9, 62% +143 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 17-8, 68% +629 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 9-6, 60% +24 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 12-7, 63% +231

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 16-8, 67% + 720 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 15-8, 65% + 620 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 11-4, 73% + 660 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 12-6, 67% + 540

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